Tennis · resolved market
Kigali: Jonas Forejtek vs Luka Mikrut
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e9c29d7f2b03bb8b2828531a7bba0b1c042a6f78a1a83b0e287602749828b58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luka Mikrutof Jonas Forejtek, Luka Mikrut
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Jonas Forejtek | 17c | 2,236$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Luka Mikrut | 69c | 2,171$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.46 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Jonas Forejtek | 10c | 2,073$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Luka Mikrut | 74c | 1,994$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.13 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jonas Forejtek | 15c | 1,665$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.75 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jonas Forejtek | 18c | 1,383$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Jonas Forejtek | 30c | 1,093$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.32 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jonas Forejtek | 33c | 820.53$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.9 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luka Mikrut | 74c | 809.46$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Jonas Forejtek | 35c | 460.4$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jonas Forejtek | 14c | 361.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jonas Forejtek | 23c | 361.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Jonas Forejtek | 31c | 324.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Luka Mikrut | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Jonas Forejtek | 8c | 271$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Luka Mikrut | 75c | 267.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Luka Mikrut | 65c | 229.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Jonas Forejtek | 12c | 225.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Luka Mikrut | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Jonas Forejtek | 35c | 180.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jonas Forejtek | 25c | 177.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Luka Mikrut | 66c | 168.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Jonas Forejtek | 34c | 149.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Luka Mikrut | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Jonas Forejtek | 35c | 121.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Jonas Forejtek | 16c | 119.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jonas Forejtek | 16c | 116.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Jonas Forejtek | 35c | 115.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Jonas Forejtek | 34c | 107.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Luka Mikrut | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Luka Mikrut | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Jonas Forejtek | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Luka Mikrut | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Jonas Forejtek | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Jonas Forejtek | 21c | 95.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Jonas Forejtek | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Luka Mikrut | 65c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Jonas Forejtek | 35c | 56.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…7eb2backed Luka Mikrut | 66c | 53.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked Luka Mikrut | 66c | 48.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Luka Mikrut | 66c | 48.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Jonas Forejtek | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Luka Mikrut | 69c | 34.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Jonas Forejtek | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Luka Mikrut | 74c | 27.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Luka Mikrut | 76c | 25.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…a83bbacked Luka Mikrut | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Luka Mikrut | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Luka Mikrut | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali: Jonas Forejtek vs Luka Mikrutthis page
- Forejtek vs. Mikrut: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.