Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee1e1f08164d6bb8f6d135ab74af0ba6e58e8c434b9d0e3694a56eabba4438fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Heroic | 1c | 8,671$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic | 7c | 6,246$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.28 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 24c | 5,495$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.06 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Heroic | 24c | 4,484$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.17 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Heroic | 11c | 3,715$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.65 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 12c | 3,637$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.85 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Spirit | 74c | 3,597$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.64 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Heroic | 14c | 3,232$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.95 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 2,766$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.05 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 19c | 2,582$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.41 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Spirit | 76c | 2,515$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.77 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 15c | 2,068$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.79 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2697…8144backed Heroic | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Heroic | 26c | 1,906$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.19 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Heroic | 26c | 1,831$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.98 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Heroic | 24c | 1,688$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.11 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 1,300$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.25 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Heroic | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Heroic | 24c | 1,200$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.92 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Heroic | 24c | 1,135$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.21 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…ee97backed Heroic | 3c | 1,106$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Heroic | 8c | 799.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…a0d8backed Team Spirit | 75c | 700.98$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked Heroic | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…dc25backed Heroic | 9c | 700$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Heroic | 10c | 677.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…f95fbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 662.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.12 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Spirit | 77c | 645.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.77 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…8e95backed Team Spirit | 77c | 628.57$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Team Spirit | 75c | 612$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 603.68$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.88 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Heroic | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…f746backed Heroic | 3c | 564.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Heroic | 11c | 541.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…23c4backed Heroic | 27c | 539.56$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 520.61$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Heroic | 11c | 509.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Heroic | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 497.35$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Heroic | 24c | 492$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 26c | 449.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed Heroic | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Heroic | 14c | 402.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…aad0backed Team Spirit | 75c | 399.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Heroic | 13c | 396.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Team Spirit | 76c | 396$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Spirit | 76c | 327.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 72c | 299.88$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 292.21$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Team Spirit | 73c | 284.5$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 262.18$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Team Spirit | 78c | 257.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Heroic | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Heroic | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ac…135cbacked Heroic | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…422bbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 188.91$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Heroic | 23c | 180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 168.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 164.81$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 156.54$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Heroic | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Heroic | 11c | 141.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…2b42backed Team Spirit | 78c | 135.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 134.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Team Spirit | 76c | 131.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Team Spirit | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Team Spirit | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…5ff1backed Team Spirit | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Team Spirit | 77c | 129.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Heroic | 13c | 116.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9445backed Team Spirit | 72c | 107.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Team Spirit | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Spirit | 73c | 104.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Heroic | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…b234backed Team Spirit | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Heroic | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Heroic | 27c | 91.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…942dbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…4e5ebacked Heroic | 26c | 77.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…55d4backed Heroic | 27c | 74.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…dacbbacked Heroic | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Team Spirit | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Heroic | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…43d1backed Team Spirit | 77c | 42.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17da…8375backed Team Spirit | 77c | 42.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…db07backed Team Spirit | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…367fbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 41.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f3…57f3backed Heroic | 24c | 41.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324b…3fe4backed Team Spirit | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…8e45backed Team Spirit | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb7…3d04backed Team Spirit | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…0c19backed Team Spirit | 77c | 36.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Team Spirit | 72c | 32.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…a71abacked Team Spirit | 77c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.