Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca7f8d52117d4a6774ae1ca0fabb587d79cdf7dab258e126ef385b772509940e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Team Spirit | 68c | 27,468$18,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,669.58 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit | 66c | 24,500$16,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,441.19 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Heroic | 32c | 20,817$6,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,661.42 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Heroic | 28c | 19,769$5,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,574.71 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Heroic | 37c | 15,066$5,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,571.08 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 31c | 11,330$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520.8 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Heroic | 32c | 10,824$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Spirit | 73c | 9,233$6,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.36 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 31c | 7,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Heroic | 31c | 4,491$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.09 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heroic | 36c | 4,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.99 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 27c | 3,675$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.11 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 3,510$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Team Spirit | 56c | 3,453$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.14 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 3,200$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 3,167$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.64 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Heroic | 3c | 2,400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Heroic | 8c | 1,768$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked Heroic | 33c | 1,765$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…e255backed Team Spirit | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Team Spirit | 67c | 1,340$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.64 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 1,312$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 33c | 1,300$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 1,154$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.78 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Spirit | 65c | 1,133$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.96 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Spirit | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Spirit | 72c | 989.9$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.34 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Heroic | 37c | 975.45$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.36 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 31c | 783.32$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Team Spirit | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Heroic | 16c | 561.19$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Team Spirit | 68c | 544.12$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…f95fbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 526.55$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.11 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Heroic | 5c | 514$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Heroic | 22c | 481.67$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Heroic | 43c | 435.31$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 428.13$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 405.77$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.31 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Heroic | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 356.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Heroic | 50c | 347.45$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.69 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a7…0795backed Heroic | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 73c | 334.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Team Spirit | 66c | 330.39$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.55 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Heroic | 31c | 324.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Heroic | 32c | 322.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 301.85$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Team Spirit | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Team Spirit | 70c | 300$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Heroic | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic | 26c | 299.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Spirit | 68c | 299.3$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 293.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 265.71$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.91 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…28cebacked Team Spirit | 70c | 258.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Heroic | 39c | 257.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 257.07$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…1443backed Team Spirit | 71c | 254.74$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Heroic | 35c | 220$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Heroic | 39c | 202.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Heroic | 44c | 201.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…706bbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Heroic | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Heroic | 58c | 196.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…df3abacked Team Spirit | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcca…64f6backed Heroic | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…33acbacked Heroic | 24c | 160$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Heroic | 30c | 157.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Team Spirit | 57c | 155.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Heroic | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcf…71cfbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Spirit | 70c | 149.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Team Spirit | 68c | 147.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Heroic | 36c | 136.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Team Spirit | 64c | 126.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Spirit | 56c | 115.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…f77fbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Heroic | 24c | 100.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Heroic | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 27c | 86.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Heroic | 35c | 86.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Heroic | 38c | 79.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -10.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…6632backed Heroic | 37c | 75.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Team Spirit | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Heroic | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…b150backed Team Spirit | 75c | 65.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Spirit | 62c | 64.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Heroic | 38c | 64.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…21f0backed Heroic | 27c | 57.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Heroic | 32c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Team Spirit | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Heroic | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Team Spirit | 67c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Team Spirit | 66c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Heroic | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf119…dde9backed Team Spirit | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)Team Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.