TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x324b…3fe4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+636.6%+$318.28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$198.21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$34.31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.49
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 42°F or higher on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+89.4%+$26.82
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.1%+$16.21
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+196.5%+$29.47
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-51%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26.4
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$13.44
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Flyersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+41.9%+$16.74
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+33.3%+$20
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wales win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+76.8%+$38.42
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+37%+$11.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs K27 (BO3)backed BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.