Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Beatriz Haddad Maia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46229fb56c1aa8819d5ca6ee370dcb348a8f87778c222c327c75ddec7340d322
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anisimovaof Anisimova, Maia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Maia | 15c | 41,325$6,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,307.09 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Anisimova | 79c | 17,541$13,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745.36 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…a65ebacked Maia | 25c | 15,674$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.78 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Anisimova | 80c | 5,658$4,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.71 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Anisimova | 76c | 4,603$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.7 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Maia | 3c | 3,535$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…a926backed Maia | 25c | 3,195$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maia | 2c | 2,622$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Maia | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Anisimova | 76c | 1,686$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.64 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Maia | 14c | 1,660$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.85 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Maia | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Anisimova | 75c | 1,401$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.17 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Anisimova | 76c | 1,168$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.72 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Maia | 10c | 1,126$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.03 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Anisimova | 76c | 1,076$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.24 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Anisimova | 77c | 1,027$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.18 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Maia | 23c | 1,010$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.3 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Anisimova | 75c | 866$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.5 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Maia | 23c | 844.91$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.33 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Anisimova | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8a64backed Maia | 16c | 645.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maia | 3c | 640.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Maia | 23c | 629.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.59 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Maia | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Anisimova | 76c | 578$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.72 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Anisimova | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Maia | 12c | 490.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…9012backed Anisimova | 76c | 470.95$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Anisimova | 77c | 432.27$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Maia | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maia | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Anisimova | 76c | 406.67$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Maia | 22c | 354.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Maia | 3c | 353.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Maia | 24c | 272.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Anisimova | 76c | 222$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Anisimova | 75c | 204.17$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…6ab0backed Maia | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed Anisimova | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Anisimova | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Maia | 13c | 127$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Anisimova | 76c | 119.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Anisimova | 79c | 95.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…69d5backed Maia | 24c | 91.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Maia | 22c | 90.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Anisimova | 78c | 71.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…4522backed Anisimova | 78c | 63.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Anisimova | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Anisimova | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…4f78backed Maia | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Anisimova | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…a993backed Anisimova | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Anisimova | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked Anisimova | 77c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…6b7fbacked Anisimova | 76c | 19.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4d8ebacked Anisimova | 77c | 18.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Anisimova | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Anisimova | 77c | 14.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.