Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5016f85587e3fe4f918268c6de4b623a868a6034f6df1de31bf5b16fa89bf2bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 13c | 4,315$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.1 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 13c | 2,995$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.81 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 14c | 685.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 20c | 630.37$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.77 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 8c | 437.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 14c | 333.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 15c | 258.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 20c | 254.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Under | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 15c | 154.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…8492backed Under | 13c | 151.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked Over | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8018…0356backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.