Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x626df42e96ea67aea3c7ef8bd40a68482504bb6315c5f430119102c99729c4ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa836…4174backed No | 38c | 1,559$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 37c | 1,036$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.46 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 1,033$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.42 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 63c | 395.9$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Yes | 63c | 342.67$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 51c | 333.31$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 318.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.35 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 60c | 208$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 188$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 38c | 170$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 106.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 62c | 104$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 63c | 93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 48c | 76.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 60c | 75.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…bac4backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…f939backed Yes | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…da3bbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 61c | 27.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 19.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.