Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ffba7f817e4f9a52c8a10313e0fa100f41faff57c987a8be3f01d6ee3e212c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 27c | 13,658$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.94 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 2,904$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.59 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 20c | 2,514$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.35 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 72c | 2,198$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.22 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 77c | 2,016$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.74 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 73c | 1,889$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.03 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 79c | 1,433$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.85 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Under | 75c | 1,336$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.39 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Under | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 75c | 728.5$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.86 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 74c | 624$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 73c | 576.55$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.67 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 25c | 575.87$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 26c | 400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 73c | 312$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 73c | 300.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.26 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 71c | 288.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 71c | 176$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 71c | 176$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…70eebacked Over | 10c | 114.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 22c | 104.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 25c | 96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Over | 16c | 92.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Under | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 73c | 75.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 70.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 80c | 63.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…4a73backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 72c | 39.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Under | 76c | 27.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed Under | 76c | 26.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Under | 75c | 15.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.