Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x470d5c5e3ce8340202059d4568de71f8b3b8074eb7db347d32c369e254eb85ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Fateh Saudi Clubof Al Fateh Saudi Club, Al Najmah Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 39c | 14,900$5,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,116.98 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 3,200$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 2,400$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 1,400$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 63c | 900$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 62c | 520$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 520$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 36c | 461.66$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.34 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 59c | 365.42$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.97 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 38c | 333.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.66 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 62c | 322.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 45c | 316.21$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.37 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 312$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 312$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 62c | 253.89$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.2 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 60c | 220$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 205.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 54c | 182.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 160$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 160$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 62c | 127.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 41c | 122.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…b29bbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 41c | 83.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 65c | 81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 42c | 78.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +236.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…9d8fbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 42c | 47.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 23c | 43.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 59c | 36.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 65c | 32.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 45c | 29.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Fateh Saudi Club | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…b5e3backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 62c | 17.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.