TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kigali: Florent Bax vs Gabriele Pennaforti

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Florent Baxof Florent Bax, Gabriele Pennaforti
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Gabriele Pennaforti9c11,417$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.378,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Florent Bax62c9,147$5,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,440.8955646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Gabriele Pennaforti31c5,988$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.522,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Gabriele Pennaforti40c3,612$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.051,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Florent Bax70c3,274$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.481,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Gabriele Pennaforti8c2,325$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.861,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Gabriele Pennaforti37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74018447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Gabriele Pennaforti35c1,661$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.7726535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Gabriele Pennaforti42c1,100$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.381,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gabriele Pennaforti37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3706,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Gabriele Pennaforti34c728.71$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.7620554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Gabriele Pennaforti32c614.9$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.723,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Florent Bax79c597.77$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5338652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Gabriele Pennaforti4c463.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.82,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Gabriele Pennaforti40c359.62$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.851,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Gabriele Pennaforti20c323.22$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.724,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Gabriele Pennaforti41c304.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.999755.7%54 W · 43 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Gabriele Pennaforti40c285$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11496755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Gabriele Pennaforti38c266.17$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1495846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Florent Bax78c255.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8312360.2%74 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Gabriele Pennaforti39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Florent Bax59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.542046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Florent Bax62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9450364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Gabriele Pennaforti23c218.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Gabriele Pennaforti42c207.38$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2446649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Gabriele Pennaforti27c185.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054249.3%267 W · 275 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Florent Bax77c181.82$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.826168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Gabriele Pennaforti24c164$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.831,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gabriele Pennaforti38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a9…31b7backed Gabriele Pennaforti41c143.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gabriele Pennaforti41c140.53$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.032,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Gabriele Pennaforti40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502532%8 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-41.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Florent Bax60c123.33$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3332842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Florent Bax58c111.8$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9621346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Gabriele Pennaforti24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2437342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Florent Bax60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.549142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Gabriele Pennaforti40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Florent Bax61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3977967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Florent Bax74c97.8$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.197,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Florent Bax60c91.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.672,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Florent Bax69c87.06$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.376,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Gabriele Pennaforti22c86.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.63,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Florent Bax75c84.83$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0658067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Florent Bax60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3314060.7%85 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Gabriele Pennaforti25c83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ba…e7eebacked Florent Bax62c78.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.011968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a44…27fbbacked Florent Bax60c73.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.512466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Gabriele Pennaforti42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Gabriele Pennaforti40c70.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.265849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Florent Bax60c70.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.041,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Gabriele Pennaforti24c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0799044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Florent Bax68c68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6473745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Florent Bax77c65.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.211,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0809…b2f4backed Florent Bax79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.291154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick70cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa388…511fbacked Florent Bax76c62.36$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.973281.3%26 W · 6 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+27.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed Florent Bax59c57.59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6131853.5%170 W · 148 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Gabriele Pennaforti44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521847.2%103 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Gabriele Pennaforti38c53.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4354434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Florent Bax59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.335559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Florent Bax61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.512659.5%75 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f9…cd95backed Florent Bax78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114667.4%31 W · 15 L+0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Gabriele Pennaforti42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Florent Bax79c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4857252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Gabriele Pennaforti40c42.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.161,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Gabriele Pennaforti38c42.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9625237.3%94 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked Florent Bax61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.613556.3%76 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Gabriele Pennaforti40c36.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Florent Bax74c32.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4361953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Gabriele Pennaforti40c31.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.622258.1%129 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x841b…d46dbacked Gabriele Pennaforti42c30.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a5…2b14backed Florent Bax60c28.73$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.491566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0951…f740backed Gabriele Pennaforti41c27.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Gabriele Pennaforti42c27.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6212153.7%65 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Gabriele Pennaforti40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022847.4%108 W · 120 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac1…0c17backed Florent Bax59c24.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Florent Bax60c21.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6345147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Florent Bax79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.29347.3%44 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Florent Bax60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829244.5%130 W · 162 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf69b…d240backed Florent Bax55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916959.2%100 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Florent Bax80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7512664.3%81 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a8…2d58backed Florent Bax60c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.89154.9%50 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked Florent Bax80c13.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.7510046%46 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.