Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-21?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c6ceecb9cbe639931134510528ae328bae4b39b9d699c8d7e855139a99608c3

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 21, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $97,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $120,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,029 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	13c	12,008$1,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,544.88	796	39.6%315 W · 481 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No	33c	11,951$3,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,943.83	189	50.3%95 W · 94 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No	30c	3,918$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.91	296	43.6%129 W · 167 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes	66c	3,765$2,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,277	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes	67c	2,685$1,796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888.67	119	37%44 W · 75 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe256…12f8backed Yes	67c	2,548$1,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840.91	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked No	22c	2,258$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.77	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+6.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+97.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No	35c	2,180$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	31c	2,158$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.99	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed No	26c	2,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Yes	78c	1,961$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.49	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes	67c	1,700$1,139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked No	33c	1,700$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No	34c	1,637$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.79	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf719…987abacked Yes	66c	1,466$968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.45	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes	67c	1,092$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.24	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	67c	1,088$726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.04	449	39.6%178 W · 271 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes	67c	1,050$704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	38c	1,019$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.71	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbba9…6baabacked Yes	67c	1,000$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3804…9912backed Yes	65c	999.98$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No	33c	914.26$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.71	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03e9…9507backed No	16c	912.28$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.34	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	32c	872.91$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.33	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No	11c	813.82$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	376	52.4%197 W · 179 L	+27.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed No	35c	750$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.5	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes	67c	746.4$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.31	256	37.9%97 W · 159 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No	34c	735.98$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.23	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes	67c	735.58$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.74	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes	68c	735.29$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.29	133	36.1%48 W · 85 L	-12.7wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No	34c	700$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238	143	42.7%61 W · 82 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No	34c	600$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	178	37.6%67 W · 111 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed No	35c	571.43$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No	37c	531.44$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.66	297	51.9%154 W · 143 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d85…483cbacked Yes	73c	530.62$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.77	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No	33c	529.96$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.77	466	60.5%282 W · 184 L	+30.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	19c	488.13$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.74	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2774…07dfbacked Yes	62c	442.27$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.06	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No	35c	433.51$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.13	79	67.1%53 W · 26 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed No	32c	399.95$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.98	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-3.8wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Yes	63c	380$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.6	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes	68c	333.97$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.87	116	38.8%45 W · 71 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes	63c	317.46$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.46	113	42.5%48 W · 65 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Yes	67c	313.99$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.62	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-7.2wins	-0.14per pick	60cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes	67c	300$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99	296	53%157 W · 139 L	-23.0wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Yes	66c	300$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f6…673abacked No	34c	300$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Yes	60c	271.1$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.44	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7fc…43cebacked Yes	68c	257.41$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.37	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x267d…81e0backed Yes	63c	250$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.5	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes	65c	248.17$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.33	155	54.8%85 W · 70 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes	67c	237.31$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.31	395	61.3%242 W · 153 L	-21.3wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b9b…2274backed Yes	67c	229.85$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.85	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fe…025cbacked Yes	67c	223.88$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.88	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6afa…7953backed Yes	67c	223.88$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.88	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeb9…1b90backed No	36c	208.33$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadc4…db43backed Yes	67c	207.49$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.47	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc711…d3c6backed No	34c	205.88$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Yes	68c	205.88$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.88	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-4.0wins	-0.27per pick	67cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes	70c	201.89$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.89	154	61%94 W · 60 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes	65c	200.02$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.01	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	427	55%235 W · 192 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed No	37c	200$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbc…bb1abacked Yes	66c	200$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed Yes	67c	191.7$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.26	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1179…710bbacked Yes	68c	167.75$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.75	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd91c…71f4backed Yes	67c	164.18$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.18	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba35…0e3abacked Yes	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb586…7f97backed Yes	68c	157.53$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.87	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No	32c	156.56$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.8	342	51.8%177 W · 165 L	+21.9wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb737…f72ebacked Yes	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3869…2d67backed Yes	67c	150$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.5	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Yes	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-7.7wins	-0.26per pick	66cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x3ed2…9eb7backed Yes	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Yes	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0394…3ef9backed Yes	68c	147.02$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.05	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.31per pick	45cpaid	-79%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05e9…39b7backed Yes	68c	140.6$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.99	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-5.1wins	-0.27per pick	58cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf25d…f21cbacked Yes	68c	139.6$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.67	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	66cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf534…b055backed No	38c	136.16$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.69	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes	68c	132.47$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.47	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa786…0d36backed No	34c	110$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d57…3bd3backed Yes	65c	106.15$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.15	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	57cpaid	-33%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Yes	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.5	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-53%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4687…c40ebacked Yes	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1577…8949backed No	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes	66c	99.99$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	98	58.2%57 W · 41 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes	67c	90.12$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.74	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac62…023bbacked Yes	68c	88.3$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.3	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a44…27fbbacked Yes	66c	87.7$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.82	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	66cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ae…b45cbacked Yes	61c	82.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.63	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc86b…81e6backed Yes	67c	82.45$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.21	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d8…f9c5backed Yes	67c	80.49$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.56	46	63%29 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60c6…db1bbacked Yes	67c	80$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6a…5726backed Yes	66c	80$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.2	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe534…bfafbacked Yes	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-4.2wins	-0.21per pick	56cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe608…0c2cbacked No	34c	75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc4…e66fbacked Yes	68c	73.53$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.53	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f0ddbacked Yes	61c	70.25$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.4	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+101%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-21?this page
Will Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-21?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-21?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event