TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof BetBoom Team, Team Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,641
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,641 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit43c7,569$3,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,307.9915852.5%83 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Spirit59c7,423$4,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.4913155%72 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b78…4d2fbacked BetBoom Team75c6,667$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,998.321250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team46c4,914$2,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.282,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b51…edf0backed BetBoom Team42c3,540$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit48c3,159$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.9789440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BetBoom Team29c2,384$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.6645139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked BetBoom Team52c2,236$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.6961057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked BetBoom Team45c2,232$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00539936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team45c1,326$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.951,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ba…faecbacked BetBoom Team52c1,050$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.751154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47055751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed BetBoom Team41c838.56$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8119743.1%85 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Spirit58c795.71$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.5256848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab93…f0bbbacked Team Spirit28c650$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.9333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Team Spirit44c636.25$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.321847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked BetBoom Team51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30638049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Spirit78c518.22$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.499661.5%59 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4ac…63bcbacked BetBoom Team10c504.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c6…e547backed BetBoom Team51c452.88$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.97520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked Team Spirit59c414.81$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.074060%24 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Team Spirit53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18810850%54 W · 54 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Team Spirit58c393.1$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.123465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0742…a9cbbacked Team Spirit49c351.02$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.02683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team77c314.22$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.959250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Spirit45c301.71$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9910745.8%49 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed BetBoom Team55c300$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.512851.6%66 W · 62 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed BetBoom Team53c249.47$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2622663.3%143 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed BetBoom Team52c220$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.887645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22d…3a13backed Team Spirit69c209.77$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6324045.4%109 W · 131 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Spirit50c201.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.158152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…0338backed Team Spirit56c195.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.236963.8%44 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked BetBoom Team61c190$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.95261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e2…4459backed BetBoom Team52c187.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.63652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81b5…56cdbacked BetBoom Team43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaac2…df3abacked BetBoom Team21c180$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d9…a6e1backed Team Spirit60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-50.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed BetBoom Team41c153.66$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x217f…5d10backed BetBoom Team19c153$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.379128.6%26 W · 65 L+0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3703…2795backed Team Spirit39c149.46$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1715341.2%63 W · 90 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed BetBoom Team57c122.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7064149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed BetBoom Team42c120$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5162841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed BetBoom Team55c105$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8510661.3%65 W · 41 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d60…be72backed Team Spirit60c100.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3819949.2%98 W · 101 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa541…d860backed BetBoom Team15c93.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7303.3%1 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick15cpaid-81.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e28…3e73backed BetBoom Team54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed BetBoom Team57c87.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5055561.8%343 W · 212 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9941…158fbacked Team Spirit52c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.65133.3%17 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf030…27bfbacked BetBoom Team40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked BetBoom Team65c76.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035370%247 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Team Spirit79c70$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.518075%135 W · 45 L+18.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x38a3…9a02backed Team Spirit45c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb358…122cbacked BetBoom Team50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355635.7%20 W · 36 L-10.2wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-39.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xed88…6a3dbacked BetBoom Team65c69.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd95b…188ebacked BetBoom Team52c51.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick58cpaid-71.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed BetBoom Team58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020457.8%118 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed BetBoom Team34c50.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1836442.3%154 W · 210 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked BetBoom Team52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2686949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Team Spirit36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3222033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd0…0e01backed BetBoom Team50c49.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.855837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1175…7f81backed BetBoom Team65c44.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed BetBoom Team61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511163.1%70 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa49…6330backed BetBoom Team54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011157.7%64 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x047a…941ebacked BetBoom Team41c29.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.323640.7%96 W · 140 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a78…f457backed BetBoom Team52c26.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd0…6f8cbacked BetBoom Team52c22.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8fd…1596backed BetBoom Team52c22.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.