Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92c5e1b830216bda11063ee075f44049059044bae5a2892dc451cf7f50fa8d40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof BetBoom Team, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked BetBoom Team | 47c | 8,200$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed BetBoom Team | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 52c | 6,299$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.32 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed BetBoom Team | 46c | 3,787$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.48 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Spirit | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 2,907$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 2,416$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.77 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked BetBoom Team | 47c | 2,121$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Spirit | 52c | 2,112$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.53 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.92 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,833$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.8 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Spirit | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked BetBoom Team | 48c | 1,185$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.44 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked BetBoom Team | 53c | 905.28$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.79 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 507.35$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.35 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed BetBoom Team | 5c | 470$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Spirit | 52c | 465.4$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.39 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed BetBoom Team | 47c | 317.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…8c08backed BetBoom Team | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked BetBoom Team | 48c | 271$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed BetBoom Team | 48c | 233.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BetBoom Team | 14c | 205.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd855…c823backed Team Spirit | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BetBoom Team | 36c | 158.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Team Spirit | 56c | 151.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Team Spirit | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed BetBoom Team | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Team Spirit | 62c | 86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed BetBoom Team | 47c | 78.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked BetBoom Team | 31c | 47.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f1…367cbacked BetBoom Team | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked BetBoom Team | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed BetBoom Team | 47c | 25.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 23.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit | 73c | 23.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Team Spirit | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.