Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad44cdce335308734298c8d3f71befd6e73baa1c7c8578001c59be2d9a274644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof BetBoom Team, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit | 59c | 8,213$4,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.41 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 54c | 7,019$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 4,902$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.38 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed BetBoom Team | 47c | 3,925$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.01 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team | 42c | 2,750$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.41 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit | 68c | 2,190$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.05 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b51…edf0backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 2,025$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,560$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.1 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked BetBoom Team | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 1,355$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.58 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,204$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.97 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked BetBoom Team | 43c | 1,159$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.21 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed BetBoom Team | 48c | 1,077$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 1,011$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.36 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 700$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked BetBoom Team | 50c | 598.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked BetBoom Team | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 426.44$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…e80bbacked BetBoom Team | 27c | 400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…e547backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 399.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Spirit | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…63bcbacked BetBoom Team | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Spirit | 61c | 329.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed BetBoom Team | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed BetBoom Team | 17c | 280$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…18a2backed BetBoom Team | 4c | 270.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed Team Spirit | 57c | 263.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed BetBoom Team | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed BetBoom Team | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Team Spirit | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed BetBoom Team | 51c | 151.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 115.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Team Spirit | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked BetBoom Team | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked BetBoom Team | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BetBoom Team | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Spirit | 68c | 89.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 73.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -10.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…d860backed BetBoom Team | 19c | 58.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Team Spirit | 53c | 55.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked BetBoom Team | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BetBoom Team | 43c | 53.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed BetBoom Team | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed BetBoom Team | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed BetBoom Team | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b5c4backed BetBoom Team | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed BetBoom Team | 47c | 40.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked BetBoom Team | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…6fe3backed Team Spirit | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3)Team Spirit won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.