NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x312e1854b38d6f4a634afcb883e1cdc1190beae841510c28c95ca42c03f0b32a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ed1…b57ebacked Capitals | 48c | 116,925$56,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,124 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e9…d1a0backed Lightning | 52c | 116,925$60,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,124 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Lightning | 53c | 24,107$12,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,254.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked Capitals | 49c | 17,706$8,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,675.77 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Capitals | 53c | 7,021$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Capitals | 11c | 4,408$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.73 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Lightning | 52c | 3,452$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.76 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Capitals | 51c | 2,148$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.8 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Capitals | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.25 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…c3b4backed Capitals | 49c | 1,880$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 48c | 1,725$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.71 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…ba41backed Lightning | 54c | 1,679$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Lightning | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Capitals | 49c | 1,498$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Lightning | 53c | 1,400$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Lightning | 72c | 1,382$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.87 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 53c | 1,349$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.54 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Lightning | 50c | 1,096$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.79 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Capitals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Lightning | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 49c | 905.49$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.33 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 52c | 860$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.8 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Capitals | 35c | 819.26$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.74 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Capitals | 47c | 799.98$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.99 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…9b05backed Lightning | 51c | 749.27$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Capitals | 28c | 717.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Capitals | 50c | 702.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.49 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 48c | 681.53$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.39 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 47c | 671.8$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.21 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Capitals | 49c | 661.22$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Capitals | 48c | 624$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Lightning | 52c | 620.53$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.53 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Capitals | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Capitals | 11c | 565.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Capitals | 42c | 527.72$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 48c | 517.98$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Lightning | 67c | 464.28$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…52b9backed Capitals | 36c | 450.29$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lightning | 68c | 437.03$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.53 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Capitals | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Capitals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Lightning | 51c | 397.22$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.64 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Capitals | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Capitals | 48c | 356.43$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.33 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Capitals | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Lightning | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Capitals | 31c | 339.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Lightning | 52c | 301.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Capitals | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…f878backed Lightning | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Capitals | 48c | 227.93$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…1c7bbacked Lightning | 51c | 226.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ad…d3a1backed Capitals | 51c | 225.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…f8c4backed Lightning | 52c | 203.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Lightning | 52c | 202$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b5…601fbacked Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f3…cae6backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…3f69backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Capitals | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0961…7eb6backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa361…8512backed Lightning | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938b…67bdbacked Lightning | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…5c59backed Lightning | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…0ffabacked Lightning | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Lightning | 52c | 194.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Lightning | 52c | 190.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…ab8fbacked Lightning | 52c | 190.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Lightning | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95b…188ebacked Capitals | 28c | 178.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Capitals | 49c | 160.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Capitals | 31c | 159.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Capitals | 32c | 155.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…1d32backed Lightning | 53c | 152.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed Capitals | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6310backed Lightning | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Lightning | 51c | 139.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…b27bbacked Capitals | 49c | 131.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Capitals | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Capitals | 47c | 128.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Capitals | 49c | 121.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 48c | 119.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Capitals | 48c | 119.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…ea9bbacked Capitals | 50c | 110.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Capitals | 33c | 103.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5e…d2f6backed Capitals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Capitals | 49c | 101.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Capitals | 50c | 101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Capitals | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Capitals | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Lightning | 51c | 97.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 52c | 96.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…b8edbacked Lightning | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Capitals | 52c | 90.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…438abacked Lightning | 52c | 87.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eac…1507backed Capitals | 50c | 81.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee98…f6efbacked Capitals | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…5a2cbacked Lightning | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Capitals | 50c | 77.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.