MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbcc57bb6db3ea02f2d62695e3e7af513efe5bbaa3582c7c8cc3f072711c3bad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Angels, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,190,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,198,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,190,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels | 42c | 848,460$355,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355,720.65 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 58c | 395,636$229,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,830.92 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Angels | 42c | 127,096$53,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,380.21 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Astros | 58c | 109,407$63,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,950.97 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ca9bbacked Astros | 66c | 60,829$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,828.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Astros | 59c | 60,000$35,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,600 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 58c | 52,714$30,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,112.09 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Astros | 58c | 52,341$30,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,983.39 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Astros | 58c | 48,200$27,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,244 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Astros | 58c | 47,285$27,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,859.77 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Astros | 59c | 47,047$27,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,275.54 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Astros | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 58c | 20,896$12,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,776.32 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Angels | 42c | 16,633$6,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,996.52 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Astros | 58c | 15,555$9,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,533.1 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Angels | 42c | 12,735$5,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,348.7 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 58c | 12,448$7,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,228.33 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Astros | 58c | 8,944$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.55 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 58c | 7,494$4,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.18 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Astros | 59c | 7,206$4,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.41 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Angels | 34c | 7,160$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.94 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Astros | 58c | 6,915$4,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.3 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Angels | 34c | 5,998$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.93 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Astros | 58c | 5,581$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.63 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Astros | 58c | 5,500$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Angels | 42c | 5,005$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Angels | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Astros | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Astros | 58c | 3,722$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.24 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Angels | 47c | 3,680$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.02 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Angels | 34c | 3,271$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 32c | 3,171$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.36 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros | 58c | 2,716$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.72 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 2c | 2,607$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Angels | 41c | 2,590$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.07 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Astros | 58c | 2,362$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.07 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Astros | 58c | 2,300$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Astros | 59c | 2,203$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.39 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Angels | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Astros | 62c | 1,648$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.96 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Astros | 58c | 1,615$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.14 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Angels | 41c | 1,601$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.41 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Astros | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…ff17backed Astros | 76c | 1,483$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 26c | 1,299$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros | 65c | 1,068$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.37 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 57c | 1,024$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.2 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…6670backed Astros | 58c | 1,022$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 66c | 1,004$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.52 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…f7ffbacked Angels | 42c | 1,002$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Astros | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…5161backed Angels | 42c | 998$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…667abacked Astros | 58c | 978$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Angels | 41c | 931$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.71 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Angels | 22c | 900$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…7793backed Angels | 42c | 869.05$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Angels | 42c | 840.33$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.94 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 65c | 820.57$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.35 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Angels | 34c | 732.35$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 59c | 681.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.97 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Astros | 57c | 678.13$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Angels | 41c | 633$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.53 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Angels | 8c | 624$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Angels | 41c | 576.36$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.31 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 58c | 517$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Angels | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Angels | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Angels | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Angels | 43c | 399.97$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Angels | 22c | 365.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Astros | 58c | 346.55$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa8…46bcbacked Astros | 59c | 345$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Astros | 59c | 344.78$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 59c | 344.78$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644f…8bc9backed Astros | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Angels | 37c | 289.06$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Astros | 65c | 286.44$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Angels | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…f6edbacked Astros | 57c | 263.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…aa77backed Astros | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 42c | 239.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Angels | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Angels | 44c | 231$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Astros | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Angels | 43c | 197.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Astros | 57c | 193.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Angels | 36c | 186.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Angels | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…8f16backed Angels | 22c | 182.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Angels | 39c | 181.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Angels | 32c | 168$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…d3dabacked Astros | 58c | 167.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Angels | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Astros | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astros | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Angels | 34c | 158.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angels vs. Astrosthis page
- Spread: Astros (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.