MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x131df8a0aabff353ba80e0c8f28eeabe4c37dd0c0781cd075f039d6d43d6335c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Mariners, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $470,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $643,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Rays | 51c | 176,459$89,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,464.73 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 49c | 69,103$33,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,860.27 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mariners | 49c | 55,771$27,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,355.35 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 43c | 29,095$12,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,537.56 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays | 50c | 19,882$9,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,940.88 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rays | 61c | 11,026$6,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.53 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Mariners | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 54c | 8,106$4,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.5 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 50c | 6,821$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.53 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mariners | 49c | 5,500$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Mariners | 50c | 5,075$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.5 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rays | 48c | 4,887$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.11 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Rays | 64c | 4,645$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.35 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays | 51c | 3,909$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.41 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Rays | 50c | 3,734$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.05 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Mariners | 50c | 3,444$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.84 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Mariners | 49c | 3,393$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.55 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Rays | 51c | 3,370$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 49c | 3,300$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mariners | 49c | 3,245$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.12 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 45c | 3,192$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 50c | 3,081$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Mariners | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 51c | 2,391$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.24 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 7c | 2,246$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 1c | 2,189$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rays | 51c | 2,141$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.09 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mariners | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 50c | 1,713$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.64 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Mariners | 28c | 1,300$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Mariners | 6c | 1,281$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Rays | 51c | 1,172$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.24 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 48c | 1,051$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 30c | 1,000$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.44 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 51c | 999.52$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.85 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 48c | 994.36$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.37 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 6c | 985.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mariners | 52c | 958.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Mariners | 48c | 917.34$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.73 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Mariners | 49c | 854.69$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.8 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Mariners | 49c | 846.94$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 49c | 831$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.52 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 52c | 738$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.86 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mariners | 50c | 705.88$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.94 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Mariners | 53c | 665.75$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Mariners | 5c | 645.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Rays | 49c | 621.55$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Mariners | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rays | 49c | 596$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.96 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rays | 80c | 591.16$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 51c | 587.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.24 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Mariners | 50c | 548$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mariners | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…0a55backed Mariners | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mariners | 7c | 500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Mariners | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Mariners | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mariners | 3c | 479$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709a…20b6backed Rays | 52c | 447.87$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mariners | 50c | 442.66$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.33 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rays | 65c | 442.57$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Rays | 72c | 429.99$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rays | 48c | 419$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.88 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Mariners | 50c | 403.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Mariners | 17c | 359.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…d3dabacked Mariners | 51c | 352.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rays | 77c | 338.26$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Mariners | 49c | 326.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Mariners | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rays | 55c | 314.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Mariners | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Mariners | 7c | 298.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…f6edbacked Mariners | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mariners | 48c | 264.46$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.94 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Mariners | 19c | 257.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Rays | 50c | 249.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.72 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Rays | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Mariners | 48c | 243.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Mariners | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Mariners | 49c | 225.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…3a79backed Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Rays | 48c | 207$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Mariners | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Mariners | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Mariners | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Rays | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Mariners | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Mariners | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 62c | 191.83$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Mariners | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Mariners | 40c | 151.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mariners | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Rays | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mariners vs. Raysthis page
- Mariners vs. Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.