MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4d47805366a676d156997e57830af016819a8e917ac62438c00ac14744f7a51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rangers | 14c | 19,365$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,642.51 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Diamondbacks | 18c | 15,267$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.95 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rangers | 64c | 13,764$8,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,010.89 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 29c | 11,609$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.38 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 14c | 10,985$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.27 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 6,162$3,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.83 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 6,066$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.96 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 5,193$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Rangers | 42c | 5,003$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.74 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 4,502$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.85 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 42c | 4,123$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.27 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 3,989$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.65 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 34c | 3,766$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.2 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 3,721$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.18 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rangers | 43c | 3,298$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.74 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Rangers | 16c | 3,154$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.19 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 3,142$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.61 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks | 66c | 3,095$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.04 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Diamondbacks | 68c | 2,460$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.1 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Rangers | 41c | 2,404$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.04 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 2,241$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,222$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.44 | 995 | 49.9%497 W · 498 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,200$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.97 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rangers | 50c | 1,926$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.12 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,767$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.54 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…3a79backed Rangers | 43c | 1,253$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,162$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.82 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers | 32c | 1,097$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.29 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rangers | 46c | 1,017$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.23 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 999.9$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.94 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…410cbacked Rangers | 29c | 907.83$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Diamondbacks | 14c | 821.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rangers | 43c | 820.79$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.85 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 716.99$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.3 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rangers | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rangers | 8c | 530$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.9 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 516.92$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.37 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 500.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rangers | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 462.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…d3dabacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 401.72$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 400$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Rangers | 43c | 381.16$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 379.23$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.14 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Rangers | 42c | 376.19$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.19 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 365.95$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.93 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 362$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.96 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Rangers | 41c | 349.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 42c | 349.91$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.94 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Rangers | 45c | 307.69$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 67c | 291.2$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.45 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rangers | 43c | 290.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 269.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,400 | 55.1%772 W · 628 L | -29.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Rangers | 28c | 243.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.11 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Rangers | 18c | 231.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.94 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rangers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 201.8$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rangers | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Rangers | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…f6edbacked Rangers | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rangers | 43c | 197.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…722bbacked Rangers | 34c | 197.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Rangers | 38c | 194.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.54 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Rangers | 10c | 186.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.55 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Rangers | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rangers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d68cbacked Rangers | 47c | 170.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 167.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Rangers | 43c | 159.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Diamondbacks | 70c | 146.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Diamondbacks | 69c | 144.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Rangers | 68c | 136.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 135$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 125.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 120.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 119$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Diamondbacks | 31c | 117.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rangers | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…8f16backed Rangers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Rangers | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Rangers | 49c | 108.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rangers | 44c | 101.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 1,091 | 46.3%505 W · 586 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…5ae8backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 100.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Rangers | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rangers | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Rangers | 44c | 98.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rangers | 58c | 95.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Diamondbacksthis page
- Rangers vs. Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Diamondbacks (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.