Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama A&M vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x276b0789a7c5c71be2697ef0fcd9c67ad431548b628f39a8e2e559c50e8a8885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama A&Mof Alabama A&M, Arkansas-Pine Bluff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 44c | 4,060$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.93 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed Alabama A&M | 57c | 2,457$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Alabama A&M | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Alabama A&M | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Alabama A&M | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Alabama A&M | 56c | 109.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Alabama A&M | 55c | 106.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…791ebacked Alabama A&M | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c2…b453backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Alabama A&M | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71b8…005abacked Alabama A&M | 61c | 71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…0a38backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 44c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e94…4ed6backed Alabama A&M | 56c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Alabama A&M | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Alabama A&M | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Alabama A&M | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe9…5f24backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…9a8cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…93c3backed Alabama A&M | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c5…7005backed Alabama A&M | 56c | 27.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb622…76e0backed Alabama A&M | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a60…2f78backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7316…0f11backed Alabama A&M | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…2c9cbacked Alabama A&M | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…e0e8backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7467…a98ebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…f9dcbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…f6bfbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…a79ebacked Alabama A&M | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…a095backed Alabama A&M | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…10b6backed Alabama A&M | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…8adcbacked Alabama A&M | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.