NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Nuggets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dfa356dd211e768b2f12bdad026a339520004b0c01e4ce557923fe031296ba0

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Hornets, Nuggets
Resolved: Feb 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $443,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $389,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,962 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca21…b07cbacked Hornets	9c	42,897$3,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,874.81	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets	9c	29,000$2,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,590	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Hornets	6c	21,862$1,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,335.62	345	32.8%113 W · 232 L	-16.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Hornets	8c	20,219$1,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,647.84	112	50.9%57 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Hornets	9c	15,569$1,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,438.06	339	31.9%108 W · 231 L	-28.5wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Hornets	6c	15,464$905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.45	250	16.8%42 W · 208 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Hornets	9c	13,004$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,210.4	461	31%143 W · 318 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Hornets	12c	10,626$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.89	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Hornets	16c	10,430$1,695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,694.77	297	38.7%115 W · 182 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets	4c	7,249$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.56	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets	5c	6,855$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.79	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets	3c	6,774$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	451	35%158 W · 293 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Hornets	2c	6,429$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	108	36.1%39 W · 69 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Hornets	8c	6,250$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	308	26.6%82 W · 226 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Hornets	1c	5,000$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	376	27.9%105 W · 271 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hornets	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	335	0%0 W · 335 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Hornets	5c	4,291$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.03	48	2.1%1 W · 47 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-67%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa273…7786backed Hornets	10c	3,132$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Hornets	10c	3,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	406	27.8%113 W · 293 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcf…7400backed Hornets	18c	2,800$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	68	55.9%38 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Hornets	3c	2,759$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.61	365	14.2%52 W · 313 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Hornets	12c	2,720$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.74	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+7.2wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Hornets	5c	2,500$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	125	40%50 W · 75 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Hornets	11c	2,273$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	165	32.1%53 W · 112 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Hornets	15c	2,188$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.19	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Hornets	14c	2,151$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	94	37.2%35 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Hornets	9c	1,886$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	264	31.8%84 W · 180 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Hornets	7c	1,842$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.6	294	50.3%148 W · 146 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe35…d34abacked Hornets	11c	1,818$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	88	23.9%21 W · 67 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets	2c	1,785$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.69	550	2.5%14 W · 536 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Hornets	2c	1,618$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.57	750	2%15 W · 735 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Hornets	8c	1,544$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	370	11.4%42 W · 328 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Hornets	5c	1,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	184	48.9%90 W · 94 L	-13.3wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Hornets	10c	1,500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.99	321	30.2%97 W · 224 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Hornets	8c	1,437$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.5	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7704…d9ddbacked Hornets	9c	1,400$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Hornets	4c	1,333$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	213	57.7%123 W · 90 L	+14.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Hornets	2c	1,267$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	57	7%4 W · 53 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Hornets	10c	1,156$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.21	141	29.1%41 W · 100 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3342…5443backed Hornets	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Hornets	6c	1,100$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	443	37.9%168 W · 275 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Hornets	13c	1,100$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	364	23.4%85 W · 279 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Hornets	8c	1,100$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.4	364	34.9%127 W · 237 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Hornets	10c	1,077$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.7	85	21.2%18 W · 67 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets	12c	1,050$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.39	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets	5c	1,036$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.69	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd334…fcc2backed Hornets	11c	1,011$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.23	247	25.9%64 W · 183 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1,090	35.8%390 W · 700 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfab7…953abacked Hornets	16c	1,000$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hornets	9c	999.98$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hornets	4c	992$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.07	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5906…e84abacked Hornets	7c	937.5$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.75	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5578…f8babacked Hornets	10c	924.01$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.4	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f5…94bebacked Hornets	10c	919.98$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Hornets	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	261	24.1%63 W · 198 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hornets	11c	906.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Hornets	9c	905.02$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.94	156	13.5%21 W · 135 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Hornets	10c	900$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	169	28.4%48 W · 121 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe719…df47backed Hornets	10c	739.51$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.95	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Hornets	9c	710.89$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.98	366	43.2%158 W · 208 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef9…5243backed Hornets	7c	700$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	79	31.6%25 W · 54 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa67…0ef4backed Hornets	10c	699.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	80	16.3%13 W · 67 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb43c…d43bbacked Hornets	10c	699.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	130	43.1%56 W · 74 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d7…6547backed Hornets	11c	680.84$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.89	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Hornets	11c	656.94$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+13.7wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Hornets	16c	640.02$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	30.8%69 W · 155 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Hornets	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	243	29.6%72 W · 171 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7f…8995backed Hornets	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets	11c	600$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	855	42%359 W · 496 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfafc…2932backed Hornets	8c	599.98$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	75	26.7%20 W · 55 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2d…f033backed Hornets	9c	560$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffb8…646dbacked Hornets	10c	529.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	107	20.6%22 W · 85 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Hornets	10c	512.68$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.27	504	53.8%271 W · 233 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Hornets	10c	501$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.1	320	41.9%134 W · 186 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe973…7338backed Hornets	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Hornets	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	350	46%161 W · 189 L	+14.3wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Hornets	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	104	26%27 W · 77 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Hornets	5c	499.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	157	41.4%65 W · 92 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Hornets	10c	499.97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	686	42.1%289 W · 397 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8f…500fbacked Hornets	8c	495.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.64	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd477…6c04backed Hornets	8c	475.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	14cpaid	+160.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets	10c	468$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	736	47.3%348 W · 388 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Hornets	10c	441.2$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.12	949	51.3%487 W · 462 L	-21.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Hornets	8c	437.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	119	39.5%47 W · 72 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c96…fb93backed Hornets	10c	419.9$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.99	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	24cpaid	+120.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Hornets	16c	400$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	255	36.9%94 W · 161 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Hornets	8c	400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	316	31.6%100 W · 216 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c7…c4dabacked Hornets	10c	371.23$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.12	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-3.1wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Hornets	11c	363.64$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	174	20.1%35 W · 139 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…2067backed Hornets	7c	357.14$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	129	41.9%54 W · 75 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b63…6c10backed Hornets	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets	8c	317.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.91	502	45.8%230 W · 272 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf65e…3850backed Hornets	10c	306.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	243	36.2%88 W · 155 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Hornets	12c	306.72$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.45	89	21.3%19 W · 70 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Hornets	9c	292.29$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.31	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x411c…e9c0backed Hornets	7c	281.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.71	107	24.3%26 W · 81 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec9…8ef2backed Hornets	9c	260.16$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.34	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f10…bf5abacked Hornets	10c	257.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6480…1e97backed Hornets	9c	250$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5215…2c0ebacked Hornets	11c	246$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hornets vs. Nuggets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market