Fifa International · resolved market
Will Jordan win on 2025-09-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a8ea36fbc0dd454d8a53f4bfee80df45f6954eecbbcf0f9fb5bca626e8ac5fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 45c | 1,332$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.1 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 57c | 990.08$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.56 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 45c | 261$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…fb0abacked Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…6bcfbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…f0f9backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…9122backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…0918backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…fc58backed Yes | 51c | 27.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jordan win on 2025-09-09?this page
- Will Dominican Republic win on 2025-09-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.