NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71453f35cca18bb7cfb64f4c2235d69939560e45b0f746f9ff7591526376a456
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pelicans | 62c | 1,667$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.19 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 38c | 1,242$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.99 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Pelicans | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Lakers | 70c | 1,183$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.82 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 38c | 1,068$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.31 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Pelicans | 62c | 731.9$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.72 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Pelicans | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pelicans | 60c | 706.54$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.83 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pelicans | 57c | 565.95$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pelicans | 57c | 554.47$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.47 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Pelicans | 54c | 545.65$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.65 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Lakers | 43c | 522.56$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.86 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Pelicans | 43c | 516.28$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Pelicans | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Lakers | 63c | 497.63$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.12 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Lakers | 52c | 477.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.36 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Pelicans | 57c | 440.35$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Pelicans | 51c | 369.4$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.8 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Lakers | 38c | 280$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 4c | 276.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Lakers | 39c | 237.54$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lakers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lakers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Lakers | 42c | 168.61$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Lakers | 41c | 160.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Lakers | 42c | 118.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lakers | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…c347backed Lakers | 62c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Lakers | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Lakers | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Pelicans | 55c | 73.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Lakers | 49c | 72.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Lakers | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Lakers | 47c | 46.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…f0f9backed Lakers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87b4…4958backed Lakers | 45c | 44.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Lakers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Lakers | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Lakers | 49c | 33.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Pelicans | 60c | 30.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf241…7b2cbacked Lakers | 47c | 25.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c85…0884backed Lakers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…a028backed Pelicans | 70c | 19.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.