NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd044c77e586536eef7ab9e37e67631347a573be58cd6711a27103e454b385bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ramsof Texans, Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,907,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,930,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,907,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2c5…79a0backed Texans | 40c | 1,014,308$409,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409,822.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rams | 59c | 422,506$248,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173,533.79 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Texans | 40c | 380,237$152,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,094.87 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rams | 60c | 321,200$192,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,480 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rams | 59c | 192,584$114,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,010.03 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rams | 60c | 158,206$95,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,632.08 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Rams | 60c | 128,536$77,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,061.91 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rams | 60c | 68,000$40,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,500 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rams | 60c | 56,501$34,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,454.39 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Rams | 60c | 50,556$30,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,222.22 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Rams | 61c | 43,765$26,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,278.46 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rams | 60c | 42,037$25,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,644.57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texans | 37c | 40,613$14,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,973.17 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Texans | 39c | 38,097$14,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,857.83 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Texans | 38c | 37,569$14,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,262.5 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Texans | 40c | 28,651$11,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,324.56 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rams | 60c | 27,798$16,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,175.59 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rams | 61c | 23,220$14,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,093.14 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rams | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Texans | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rams | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Texans | 39c | 15,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Rams | 59c | 14,722$8,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,036.02 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Rams | 78c | 14,126$10,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.02 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Texans | 47c | 13,392$6,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,311.3 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Texans | 40c | 12,400$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Texans | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Texans | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Rams | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rams | 59c | 10,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Texans | 40c | 9,091$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,622.47 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Texans | 56c | 8,855$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Rams | 64c | 7,868$5,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.3 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rams | 59c | 7,363$4,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.65 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rams | 52c | 7,165$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.04 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Rams | 70c | 6,956$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.22 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rams | 61c | 6,558$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.83 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Rams | 60c | 6,000$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Rams | 61c | 4,799$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.01 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Texans | 49c | 4,798$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.93 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Texans | 46c | 3,869$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.59 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Rams | 60c | 3,650$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Texans | 40c | 3,600$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Rams | 59c | 3,300$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Texans | 39c | 3,089$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rams | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.99 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Texans | 40c | 2,900$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Rams | 60c | 2,800$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rams | 72c | 2,731$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.9 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Texans | 39c | 2,485$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.29 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Texans | 26c | 2,305$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Rams | 60c | 2,045$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Texans | 2c | 1,840$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Rams | 65c | 1,770$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.29 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Texans | 25c | 1,726$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.97 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Rams | 69c | 1,506$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.36 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Texans | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Texans | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Texans | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Texans | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rams | 63c | 1,466$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.38 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rams | 59c | 1,439$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.67 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rams | 59c | 1,424$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.84 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rams | 58c | 1,414$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.76 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…f3c4backed Texans | 40c | 1,375$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rams | 74c | 1,280$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texans | 43c | 1,066$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rams | 60c | 1,060$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Texans | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rams | 59c | 979.48$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.24 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rams | 60c | 960$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Rams | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rams | 58c | 910$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.51 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Texans | 4c | 840$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rams | 60c | 837$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.17 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Rams | 60c | 830$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed Rams | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Rams | 60c | 748$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…3455backed Rams | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Texans | 4c | 700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rams | 60c | 642.86$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.35 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Texans | 2c | 639.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Texans | 34c | 603.88$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Texans | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Texans | 40c | 565.17$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.07 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Rams | 56c | 549.64$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Rams | 71c | 547.99$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Texans | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…59b4backed Texans | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Texans | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rams | 64c | 500$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Rams | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rams | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Rams | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rams | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Rams | 55c | 453.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.04 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rams | 60c | 449$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.36 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rams | 62c | 439.98$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.22 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…5641backed Texans | 20c | 435$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rams | 63c | 434.31$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texans vs. Ramsthis page
- Spread: Rams (-3.5)Rams won
- Texans vs. Rams: O/U 43.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.