TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rays vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raysof Rays, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$494,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$503,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays54c287,491$156,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131,068.2138043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox46c201,749$91,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,961.521,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Rays54c65,555$35,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,155.360249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed White Sox46c55,909$25,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,684.6235952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked White Sox46c33,255$15,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,297.4238047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked White Sox46c22,000$10,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,12055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Rays54c19,442$10,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,943.4653150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed White Sox22c18,273$4,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,061.8521847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox45c17,154$7,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,719.411,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rays70c13,309$9,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,972.671,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked White Sox45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50030255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Rays55c8,840$4,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,97813065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox45c8,800$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9601,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Rays55c8,624$4,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,916.8633845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox29c8,032$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.131,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked White Sox45c6,222$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.7226056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox45c4,065$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.032,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Rays54c3,700$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71569249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rays74c3,262$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.132,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Rays54c2,950$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.1448254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed White Sox46c2,789$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.9420747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rays74c2,581$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.899,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox17c2,558$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.495930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked White Sox45c1,780$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.991,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked White Sox46c1,631$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.363152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Rays56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9932651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed White Sox50c1,168$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.9126650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox42c1,094$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.6250843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked White Sox18c1,012$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.116949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed White Sox46c975$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.520748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed White Sox35c937$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.4879740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rays56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3961,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox45c895.78$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.871,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed White Sox13c820$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.63554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed White Sox44c790.5$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35057744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox29c730.28$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.274,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rays72c690.34$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked White Sox35c685.13$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9415033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked Rays64c661.54$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5411257.1%64 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed White Sox46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rays71c638.15$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed White Sox18c613$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.342941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed White Sox27c568.17$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0378445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked White Sox46c556.98$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.211,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rays70c555.11$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3476456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c0…93fdbacked Rays61c550.11$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.54650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked White Sox46c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25343654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Rays55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4512558.4%73 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox26c459.74$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1470841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e9…0501backed White Sox43c432.92$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.153046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Rays55c427.27$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2710451%53 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed White Sox45c417.11$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.773149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.642,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Rays56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1426055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rays56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1456351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked White Sox46c335.61$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3814055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed White Sox46c335.61$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3880955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed White Sox18c303.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.466,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Rays55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13518649.5%92 W · 94 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x834b…a37ebacked Rays58c275.86$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.862263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Rays73c234$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3616053.1%85 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed White Sox45c220.86$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3924346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed White Sox46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed White Sox25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4945732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rays55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e8…e4e6backed Rays58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Rays58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8478454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked White Sox44c199.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rays73c194.14$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8847745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f77…fdb8backed White Sox21c190$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.92516%4 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Rays55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8210041%41 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Rays55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8212459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed White Sox44c170.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed White Sox45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726163.9%39 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Rays75c156.49$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.128454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked White Sox45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked White Sox45c140.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.158,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Rays57c138.77$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.771,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb1…6bcfbacked White Sox46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked White Sox20c117.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Rays55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.091,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…cc9abacked White Sox15c100.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Rays56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6892754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf0…3251backed Rays55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed White Sox16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed White Sox46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16a1…24f8backed Rays54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462536%9 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed White Sox34c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.960052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox45c89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.052,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcde…dc58backed White Sox46c88.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rays58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b6…0d6dbacked Rays64c85.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.43545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed White Sox30c79.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438f…28fabacked Rays55c79.6$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.825756.1%32 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…bfc1backed White Sox46c79.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.61714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-72%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Rays56c73.82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4810154.5%55 W · 46 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7388549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9d…9de8backed White Sox30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203218.8%6 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked White Sox28c58.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2533137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.