MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb995259624f4f34f6318badf0c062a2594ffeb02c3b3bc8fcd962e4ca55c86e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $299,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Phillies | 60c | 53,327$31,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,836.71 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Braves | 40c | 47,679$19,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,458.32 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Braves | 40c | 44,201$17,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,520.64 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Phillies | 56c | 24,589$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800.41 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 64c | 23,153$14,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,842.01 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 59c | 17,635$10,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,404.75 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 46c | 11,217$5,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,073.95 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 30c | 10,181$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,087.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 59c | 9,632$5,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,682.88 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Phillies | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Braves | 41c | 5,383$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.76 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Braves | 49c | 5,149$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.15 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Phillies | 72c | 4,568$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.84 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 60c | 4,558$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.5 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Phillies | 60c | 3,630$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Braves | 41c | 2,986$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.57 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Braves | 35c | 2,665$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.12 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Braves | 41c | 2,501$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.59 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Braves | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Phillies | 60c | 2,474$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.4 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Phillies | 55c | 2,288$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.77 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Braves | 41c | 2,147$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.77 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 60c | 2,000$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Phillies | 60c | 1,738$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.58 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 35c | 1,731$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.29 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Braves | 38c | 1,580$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.94 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Phillies | 59c | 1,532$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.42 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Braves | 40c | 1,521$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.6 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 59c | 1,432$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.88 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Braves | 41c | 1,360$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.39 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Braves | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed Phillies | 60c | 1,229$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.41 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Braves | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Braves | 38c | 1,204$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Braves | 40c | 1,190$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.86 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…6f2fbacked Phillies | 74c | 1,093$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Phillies | 73c | 1,084$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Phillies | 42c | 1,080$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.6 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 41c | 1,046$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.91 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phillies | 60c | 1,005$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.45 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Phillies | 65c | 1,000$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Braves | 40c | 999.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.57 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Phillies | 59c | 962.5$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.88 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Braves | 33c | 950$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Braves | 40c | 936.68$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.01 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Braves | 41c | 850$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Phillies | 60c | 833.12$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.87 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Braves | 76c | 831.15$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 67c | 800$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 61c | 798.08$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.83 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Braves | 47c | 642.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.23 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Braves | 80c | 638.89$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 60c | 625$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Phillies | 64c | 585$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Braves | 41c | 577$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.43 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Phillies | 65c | 561.63$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.64 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Braves | 40c | 561.57$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.94 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Braves | 36c | 550$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Braves | 38c | 540$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.27 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Phillies | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Phillies | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Braves | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Phillies | 66c | 484.85$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phillies | 59c | 454.91$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.15 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Braves | 37c | 441.9$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Phillies | 59c | 440.52$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Braves | 41c | 426.83$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.83 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Braves | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 48c | 396$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.13 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Braves | 39c | 380.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Braves | 39c | 364.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.66 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…f1bdbacked Phillies | 61c | 360$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Phillies | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 41c | 350$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…6712backed Phillies | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Phillies | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Phillies | 45c | 333$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Braves | 41c | 326$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.34 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Braves | 46c | 323.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.17 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Braves | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 61c | 300.9$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Braves | 42c | 276.11$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 43c | 264.1$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.54 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…0cecbacked Phillies | 40c | 261.9$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Braves | 40c | 248.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Braves | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 59c | 228.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Braves | 37c | 222.46$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Braves | 28c | 221.43$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.43 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 41c | 219$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Braves | 43c | 213$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.79 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Braves | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Braves | 62c | 206.37$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…4869backed Phillies | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…a8abbacked Braves | 40c | 182.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…4ffbbacked Braves | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…2c1dbacked Braves | 40c | 177.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braves vs. Philliesthis page
- Braves vs. Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Phillies (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.