NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5a385a1c20b86d0ae807dd7a0498fe15a1e4714a9e68e453bc84ab3c2b0085f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Heat, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Heat | 51c | 14,708$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,479.6 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 9,489$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,064.18 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 44c | 8,120$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.86 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,966$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.18 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Cavaliers | 76c | 2,054$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.88 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Heat | 53c | 2,024$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.67 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cavaliers | 34c | 1,205$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.61 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.24 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Cavaliers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…2266backed Cavaliers | 73c | 823.05$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 709.3$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Cavaliers | 44c | 676.29$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.29 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 56c | 509.31$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.33 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Heat | 27c | 500$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Cavaliers | 44c | 500$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cavaliers | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Heat | 55c | 499.95$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.97 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Heat | 58c | 477.19$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.77 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Heat | 55c | 446.56$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Heat | 46c | 367.82$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Heat | 53c | 341.47$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.43 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Cavaliers | 67c | 324.83$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cavaliers | 39c | 317.92$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.45 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Heat | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 272.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 39c | 254.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.52 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 251.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Heat | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cavaliers | 42c | 246$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.52 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Heat | 34c | 235$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Heat | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Heat | 54c | 195.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Cavaliers | 60c | 173.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Cavaliers | 37c | 159.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Heat | 65c | 154.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Cavaliers | 40c | 147.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Heat | 41c | 145.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Heat | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Heat | 50c | 115.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Heat | 48c | 109.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Heat | 44c | 109.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cavaliers | 45c | 99.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Heat | 17c | 99.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…321abacked Heat | 41c | 98.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d2febacked Heat | 49c | 96.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Heat | 37c | 86.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked Heat | 61c | 84.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cavaliers | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b83…e63dbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Heat | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 42.9%96 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…12fabacked Cavaliers | 61c | 67.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Cavaliers | 35c | 57.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf241…7b2cbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Heat | 64c | 55.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cavaliers | 39c | 53.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cavaliers | 39c | 52.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Cavaliers | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Heat | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Cavaliers | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Heat | 62c | 46.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | -20.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…f0f9backed Cavaliers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…16dabacked Cavaliers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Heat | 56c | 45.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Cavaliers | 40c | 45.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Cavaliers | 37c | 44.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 43.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e6…97bbbacked Heat | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…de91backed Cavaliers | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…773dbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 34.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…e06bbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7b41backed Cavaliers | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb755…acbabacked Heat | 64c | 31.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…dc6fbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 30.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…6582backed Cavaliers | 65c | 30.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…6faebacked Heat | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Heat | 50c | 26.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…b46fbacked Heat | 47c | 26.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Heat | 55c | 25.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Cavaliers | 42c | 25.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Cavaliers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cavaliers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 345 | 48.7%168 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0d…ffb0backed Cavaliers | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Heat | 61c | 18.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Heat | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…e547backed Heat | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.