NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63f1e8185ed01a09bdf9ecfe4677edb0a122e954e918a46570aa83ee4b6501ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Grizzlies | 44c | 3,717$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.35 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Grizzlies | 62c | 3,236$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 3,123$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 2,998$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.61 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Trail Blazers | 75c | 1,802$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.83 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,657$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,515$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.96 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 1,251$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.87 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 1,137$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…c05dbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 890$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Grizzlies | 71c | 693.87$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.22 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be1…67aebacked Trail Blazers | 33c | 610$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 510$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.9 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Grizzlies | 66c | 499.97$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 398.19$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.36 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Grizzlies | 55c | 390.82$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.97 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Grizzlies | 63c | 355.69$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.69 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 340.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Grizzlies | 59c | 328$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 48c | 327.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 314.18$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…2dfcbacked Trail Blazers | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6e…23a5backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 280$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 252.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Grizzlies | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 152.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 147.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 136.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 135.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 124.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 121.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Grizzlies | 60c | 119.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 100.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…f36abacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 96.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Grizzlies | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d8…b906backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 79.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Grizzlies | 62c | 77.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Grizzlies | 34c | 76.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Grizzlies | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 57.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Grizzlies | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb053…92c6backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 49.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…c347backed Grizzlies | 54c | 46.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 44.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Grizzlies | 61c | 36.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…f0f9backed Grizzlies | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb755…acbabacked Grizzlies | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Trail Blazers | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Grizzlies | 44c | 24.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb2…2e51backed Grizzlies | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.