MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c3156a70a3e2a2c077a4f1964aca089076de71b576e4a0b0dd2cd5801a7bb8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Braves, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 39c | 52,640$20,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,529.71 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cubs | 61c | 47,985$29,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,718.37 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Braves | 39c | 15,562$6,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,119 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cubs | 80c | 9,577$7,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.71 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Cubs | 61c | 8,131$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.32 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 62c | 6,204$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.13 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Braves | 23c | 5,983$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.32 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Braves | 38c | 5,020$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Braves | 17c | 3,415$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.82 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Cubs | 62c | 3,411$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.18 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 60c | 2,947$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.07 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cubs | 61c | 2,541$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.92 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 61c | 2,376$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.8 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Cubs | 78c | 1,471$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.59 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Braves | 38c | 1,314$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.09 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Braves | 14c | 1,290$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 60c | 1,241$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.56 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 37c | 1,200$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.93 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 33c | 1,169$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.91 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…018bbacked Braves | 39c | 1,028$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Braves | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef3…f121backed Cubs | 61c | 979$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…ec03backed Cubs | 61c | 921$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…410cbacked Braves | 23c | 875.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…6670backed Braves | 39c | 872$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Braves | 39c | 801.28$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Cubs | 78c | 743.66$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Cubs | 60c | 720$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cubs | 63c | 699$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.63 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…0cecbacked Braves | 15c | 676.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Braves | 12c | 620$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Braves | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Cubs | 78c | 505.24$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Cubs | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 38c | 499.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Braves | 38c | 477.35$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.39 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cubs | 61c | 467$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.13 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 61c | 410$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…9012backed Cubs | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 62c | 361.73$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 64c | 351.5$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 38c | 349.97$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 78c | 321.97$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b3…3e2dbacked Braves | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…e1cbbacked Braves | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cubs | 61c | 249.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 39c | 236$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Braves | 27c | 221.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cubs | 61c | 205.6$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Braves | 37c | 179.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cubs | 62c | 169.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Cubs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Cubs | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Cubs | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Braves | 27c | 160.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 77c | 159.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Braves | 38c | 155.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Cubs | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Braves | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Cubs | 77c | 138.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Braves | 40c | 136.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cubs | 75c | 129$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cubs | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Braves | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Braves | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Cubs | 62c | 112.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…a7aebacked Braves | 39c | 111.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Braves | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed Cubs | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…0d55backed Cubs | 62c | 94.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Cubs | 73c | 88.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb219…9f58backed Cubs | 62c | 86.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Braves | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Cubs | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Braves | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b4…3e3cbacked Braves | 39c | 74.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Braves | 18c | 69.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Cubs | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Braves | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Cubs | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…9950backed Braves | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Braves | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Braves | 39c | 51.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Braves | 40c | 50.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe822…8508backed Braves | 39c | 50.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Braves | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…00f1backed Cubs | 62c | 48.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Cubs | 61c | 44.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…e4dabacked Braves | 39c | 44.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa766…b0d3backed Braves | 39c | 44.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4834…850dbacked Cubs | 62c | 43.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…2134backed Braves | 39c | 43.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…b578backed Cubs | 62c | 42.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…3120backed Braves | 39c | 42.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 60c | 41.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…3908backed Cubs | 62c | 40.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braves vs. Cubsthis page
- Braves vs. Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cubs (-1.5)Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.