Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Priscilla Hon vs Ann Li
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebc760cecf9419b94a9024a1074007418386fbf114278b3690ff2b14213720cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liof Hon, Li
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f3…759dbacked Hon | 24c | 27,030$6,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,583.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Li | 75c | 16,680$12,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.3 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Li | 71c | 5,790$4,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.65 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Li | 79c | 5,072$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.91 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Li | 74c | 4,150$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.16 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Li | 78c | 3,447$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.56 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Hon | 29c | 2,800$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Hon | 29c | 1,847$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.55 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Hon | 21c | 1,717$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.22 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Li | 74c | 1,464$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.11 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Li | 79c | 1,380$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.57 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Li | 71c | 1,267$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.69 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Hon | 22c | 907.83$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Hon | 29c | 861$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Hon | 24c | 715.71$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Li | 78c | 495$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Hon | 22c | 455.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Hon | 23c | 420.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Hon | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hon | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hon | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hon | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Hon | 19c | 304.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Hon | 29c | 205.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…7cddbacked Hon | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Li | 77c | 195$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Li | 77c | 195$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hon | 29c | 190.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Li | 74c | 150.81$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Hon | 10c | 126.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Li | 79c | 119.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Hon | 27c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Hon | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Hon | 30c | 67.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 513 | 42.9%220 W · 293 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Li | 68c | 62.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 365 | 40.8%149 W · 216 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hon | 17c | 62.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Hon | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb5…ca57backed Li | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.