Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Arthur Rinderknech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db4c69c894c60429d439f13e36b6a4dbccf5b81fd195ba9634a4e62fa27234f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rinderknechof Bonzi, Rinderknech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Bonzi | 57c | 11,863$6,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,767.72 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Rinderknech | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Bonzi | 32c | 7,594$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…759dbacked Rinderknech | 35c | 7,355$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,785.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Rinderknech | 40c | 6,549$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.07 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Bonzi | 61c | 4,491$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.52 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bonzi | 53c | 2,704$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.22 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rinderknech | 44c | 2,339$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.13 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Rinderknech | 64c | 2,154$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.04 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Rinderknech | 78c | 1,929$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.91 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bonzi | 53c | 1,755$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Bonzi | 68c | 1,612$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.23 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Rinderknech | 49c | 1,438$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.84 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rinderknech | 47c | 1,375$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.64 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Bonzi | 49c | 1,013$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Bonzi | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Rinderknech | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Rinderknech | 49c | 809.25$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.95 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Rinderknech | 47c | 797.68$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.77 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Bonzi | 67c | 794.13$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.07 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Rinderknech | 38c | 700$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Bonzi | 21c | 610.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Bonzi | 52c | 595.76$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Bonzi | 36c | 541.86$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Bonzi | 19c | 535.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rinderknech | 43c | 518.64$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.02 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Bonzi | 55c | 450.71$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.74 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Bonzi | 52c | 444.85$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.31 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Bonzi | 43c | 407$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.52 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Bonzi | 21c | 398.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Rinderknech | 47c | 391.77$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Rinderknech | 71c | 386.53$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bonzi | 31c | 380.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Rinderknech | 49c | 375.15$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Bonzi | 62c | 347.88$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.69 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Bonzi | 33c | 310$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Bonzi | 58c | 308.04$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Bonzi | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Bonzi | 56c | 298.24$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bonzi | 54c | 296$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.18 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Bonzi | 55c | 270$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Bonzi | 51c | 266.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Bonzi | 54c | 263.55$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Rinderknech | 52c | 248.08$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Bonzi | 31c | 211.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rinderknech | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rinderknech | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Bonzi | 34c | 203.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Bonzi | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Rinderknech | 34c | 199.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bonzi | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bonzi | 58c | 153$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Bonzi | 69c | 148.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Rinderknech | 53c | 141.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Bonzi | 21c | 139.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Rinderknech | 45c | 125.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455a…28ebbacked Bonzi | 28c | 124.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Rinderknech | 49c | 115$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Rinderknech | 51c | 114.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…315dbacked Rinderknech | 35c | 101.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Bonzi | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Rinderknech | 60c | 95.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Bonzi | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Bonzi | 51c | 88.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rinderknech | 50c | 82.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bonzi | 36c | 66.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Rinderknech | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…3668backed Rinderknech | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Rinderknech | 41c | 59.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…751ebacked Rinderknech | 69c | 55.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Bonzi | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Bonzi | 63c | 50.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Rinderknech | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…38eabacked Bonzi | 52c | 43.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2224…6f8abacked Bonzi | 56c | 39.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Bonzi | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…837abacked Bonzi | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…78d1backed Bonzi | 55c | 21.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Bonzi | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Rinderknech | 65c | 19.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…ce3ebacked Bonzi | 53c | 19.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…7eb2backed Bonzi | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.