MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf5e9d458bc606a6c19cdd6526c9356b6fc4b614d9c06538b3f038e71cbea6e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Royals, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Royals | 33c | 5,317$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.19 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 65c | 5,059$3,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.6 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 35c | 3,618$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Marlins | 47c | 3,408$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.29 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 67c | 3,400$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.53 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Royals | 51c | 3,284$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.64 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…759dbacked Royals | 19c | 3,168$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Royals | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Marlins | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.98 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 65c | 2,734$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.38 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 43c | 2,558$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Royals | 54c | 2,525$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.5 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Royals | 54c | 2,200$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Marlins | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Marlins | 54c | 1,470$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.24 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Marlins | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 65c | 885.49$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.32 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Royals | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Marlins | 46c | 739.95$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.57 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Royals | 37c | 604.6$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.94 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 54c | 584.9$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Royals | 31c | 568.75$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 48c | 465.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.22 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Marlins | 46c | 448.53$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.84 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Royals | 4c | 445$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…a137backed Royals | 27c | 439.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Royals | 12c | 400$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Royals | 24c | 384.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 62c | 345.14$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Royals | 3c | 308.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Marlins | 70c | 287.74$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Royals | 23c | 283.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Royals | 53c | 238.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Royals | 44c | 226.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Royals | 52c | 215.97$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Royals | 43c | 206.18$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Royals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Marlins | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 48c | 195$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 53c | 188.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 55c | 182.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Marlins | 68c | 171.59$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Marlins | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Marlins | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Marlins | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Royals | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Marlins | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Marlins | 64c | 131.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…34e6backed Royals | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Royals | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Royals | 23c | 108.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Marlins | 60c | 100.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Marlins | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Royals | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Royals | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Royals | 18c | 95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Royals | 53c | 82.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…3769backed Marlins | 65c | 78.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Marlins | 52c | 77.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Royals | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…b82cbacked Royals | 33c | 68.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 42c | 65.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Royals | 54c | 62.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Royals | 30c | 62.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Royals | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Royals | 38c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 56c | 57.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Royals | 54c | 50.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Marlins | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Royals | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…275cbacked Royals | 53c | 49.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…e6b3backed Marlins | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 46c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Marlins | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Marlins | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Marlins | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 30c | 39.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Royals | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…1a90backed Royals | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa81a…9efebacked Royals | 44c | 32.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 49c | 30.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Marlins | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Marlins | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…019fbacked Marlins | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Royals | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…8121backed Marlins | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…7624backed Marlins | 48c | 24.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Royals | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.