TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Lennard Struff

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Struffof Tiafoe, Struff
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$507,266
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$653,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,266 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38a…8d26backed Struff31c147,756$45,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,407.722356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Tiafoe69c100,010$69,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,001.59354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f3…759dbacked Tiafoe14c41,836$5,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,812.351127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Tiafoe70c26,800$18,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,759.974548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d1…8ce8backed Tiafoe70c20,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Tiafoe70c16,904$11,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,809.949137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Struff30c16,050$4,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,308.019935.4%35 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tiafoe70c7,800$5,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,46015832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Struff76c6,986$5,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.7832141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Tiafoe14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Tiafoe71c3,784$2,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.7411053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a9…b5a8backed Struff33c3,060$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.941822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Tiafoe17c2,923$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49811859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Struff35c2,881$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.4628443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Tiafoe25c2,783$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Tiafoe71c2,535$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80057249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Struff72c2,284$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.6311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed Tiafoe14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe65f…a749backed Tiafoe27c2,090$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.943638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Struff30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40022737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Struff56c1,967$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86714343.4%62 W · 81 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Tiafoe58c1,440$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.812552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Tiafoe70c1,336$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.495140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Struff31c1,290$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.329742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Tiafoe70c1,111$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.722344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Tiafoe17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.922629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3868…5683backed Struff55c1,000$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.857330.1%22 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Tiafoe17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8726039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tiafoe7c970.04$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.681,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Struff30c774.85$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.412949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6149…dacfbacked Tiafoe15c770.1$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.511250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Tiafoe54c649.99$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.54030%12 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df7…baefbacked Tiafoe67c632.22$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Struff28c600$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43229634.1%101 W · 195 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Tiafoe52c599.99$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31212954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Tiafoe17c591.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003339.4%13 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Struff75c566.28$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2812253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Tiafoe11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6059151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Tiafoe29c523.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506833.8%23 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Tiafoe20c507.62$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.291250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Struff50c505.1$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.112737.8%48 W · 79 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Tiafoe70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Tiafoe71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35529636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Struff78c477.74$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.761,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21d…a769backed Tiafoe47c431.85$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.976358.7%37 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf647…7911backed Struff31c419.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Tiafoe69c419.35$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3531650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed Tiafoe47c370$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.93070%21 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+44.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Struff67c362$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.681,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Tiafoe70c355.13$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Tiafoe71c352.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Struff28c352.11$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9915957.2%91 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Struff30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3348043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6e…b0e0backed Struff30c333.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.221741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Struff31c322.71$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.8749632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Tiafoe70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tiafoe17c254.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3363942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Tiafoe69c243.52$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0355143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tiafoe33c230.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.012,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ea…5590backed Tiafoe14c219.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.451154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Struff46c215.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3236047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Tiafoe16c206.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3324529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x431b…1d9cbacked Tiafoe70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Tiafoe70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409741.2%40 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Struff53c186.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.932,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Tiafoe63c180$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.46734.3%23 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Tiafoe56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017538.3%67 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Tiafoe59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Tiafoe39c149.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.38949.4%44 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Tiafoe16c147.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5928828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Tiafoe15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016445.7%75 W · 89 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Struff30c130$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+69.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Tiafoe16c128.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef4…0293backed Struff78c103.53$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.78785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Tiafoe59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9575547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4b2…273bbacked Tiafoe59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.956659.1%39 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Tiafoe71c89.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7917349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Tiafoe21c89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0431255.4%173 W · 139 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Struff30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3351243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Tiafoe62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506863.2%43 W · 25 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Struff35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8825330%76 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Tiafoe71c75.69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7423670.8%167 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ab6…cfecbacked Struff75c74.47$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7312927.1%35 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e1…9c10backed Tiafoe70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507061.4%43 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf72…a255backed Tiafoe71c69.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Tiafoe65c67.08$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.856756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66a3…e234backed Tiafoe42c65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21cd…e7aabacked Struff36c63.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.47441.9%31 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6288…1bdcbacked Tiafoe50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Tiafoe61c59.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.917338.7%67 W · 106 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Tiafoe70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357955.7%44 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Tiafoe43c47.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.281631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Tiafoe63c41.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.37744.2%34 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93e7…9e61backed Tiafoe55c39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+71.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Tiafoe70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f2…c05cbacked Tiafoe71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Tiafoe71c23.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1714140.4%57 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d40…b4ecbacked Struff55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913546.7%63 W · 72 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.