MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e5f7e6e55dac91b4100befd79e9a6053732f97e6d7ea4be0877e4ea1d843dd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Giants, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $796,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $912,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $796,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 367,762$172,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195,116.38 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 53c | 131,678$69,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,567.79 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…9a2cbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 100,000$50,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,006.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 49c | 82,158$40,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,257.26 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants | 53c | 60,096$31,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,828.71 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Giants | 53c | 47,250$24,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,952.74 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Giants | 53c | 37,861$20,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,066.14 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 53c | 37,477$19,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,592.12 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Giants | 47c | 31,099$14,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,636.9 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Giants | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,900 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 40c | 29,218$11,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,629.28 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Giants | 54c | 25,511$13,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,745.5 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Blue Jays | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.97 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Blue Jays | 48c | 18,989$9,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,874.02 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 50c | 15,805$7,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,889.09 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Giants | 53c | 14,951$7,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,979 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Giants | 53c | 13,766$7,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,359.02 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Giants | 53c | 12,806$6,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,805.49 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 10,136$5,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.7 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Giants | 50c | 10,101$5,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,071.35 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Giants | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 35c | 6,089$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Giants | 22c | 5,366$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.87 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 5,325$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.61 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Giants | 53c | 4,650$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.5 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 48c | 3,998$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.92 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Giants | 53c | 3,900$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 61c | 3,841$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 53c | 3,813$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 51c | 3,004$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.21 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Giants | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Blue Jays | 51c | 2,983$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.66 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Blue Jays | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.2 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Giants | 52c | 2,412$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.66 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Blue Jays | 49c | 2,118$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.47 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Giants | 55c | 2,105$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.74 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Giants | 76c | 2,080$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.33 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,850$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Giants | 51c | 1,751$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.8 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Giants | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Giants | 54c | 1,512$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.48 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…786abacked Blue Jays | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Giants | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Blue Jays | 49c | 1,466$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.5 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Giants | 30c | 1,330$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Giants | 61c | 1,195$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.95 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…f554backed Giants | 54c | 1,155$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Giants | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.72 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 63c | 1,101$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.62 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Giants | 34c | 1,095$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.02 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Giants | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…d3f0backed Giants | 15c | 1,005$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +177.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Giants | 52c | 935.03$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.88 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…ede5backed Giants | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Giants | 49c | 919.9$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.95 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 52c | 861.95$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.22 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Giants | 53c | 852.58$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.87 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Giants | 61c | 812.33$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.91 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Giants | 4c | 789$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 51c | 750$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.34 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blue Jays | 47c | 749.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.5 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Giants | 49c | 734.5$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.56 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Giants | 20c | 729.53$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed Blue Jays | 50c | 710$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…780cbacked Giants | 54c | 702.16$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Giants | 44c | 605.15$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Giants | 4c | 600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Giants | 13c | 599.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…759dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 596$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Giants | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Giants | 52c | 551$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.28 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Giants | 51c | 511.14$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.68 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Blue Jays | 48c | 506.25$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3490…dbbfbacked Blue Jays | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Blue Jays | 47c | 463.65$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.65 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 456.35$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.3 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Blue Jays | 47c | 432.75$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.75 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 401.72$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Giants | 54c | 371.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Giants | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 58c | 308.57$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…8121backed Giants | 45c | 303.04$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Blue Jays | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Giants | 51c | 295.57$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Giants | 53c | 291.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Giants | 53c | 281.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 52c | 281.33$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…c05fbacked Giants | 49c | 272.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…51c6backed Giants | 64c | 264.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.31 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Blue Jays | 53c | 246.62$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.51 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Giants | 50c | 237.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Blue Jays | 55c | 225.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…9b19backed Blue Jays | 56c | 222.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.