TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,470 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c3,250$17 inLost-$16.752953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes6c500$30 inLost-$304914.3%7 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb18…d29abacked Yes5c408.16$20 inLost-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes3c400$12 inLost-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes23c300$69 inLost-$691030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-52.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes18c250$45 inLost-$45504%2 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-62.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Yes19c226$42 inLost-$42.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes10c175.6$18 inLost-$17.5690%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes23c156$36 inLost-$35.6510850%54 W · 54 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes21c150$32 inLost-$31.51421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c11…1999backed Yes25c130$33 inLost-$32.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ac…c208backed Yes18c106.67$19 inLost-$19425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-57.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes17c100$17 inLost-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+103.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba4c…9dc3backed Yes17c100$17 inLost-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.