TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Camila Osorio

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Taylor Townsendof Taylor Townsend, Camila Osorio
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0353…c2ffbacked Taylor Townsend54c18,283$9,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,430.3917850.6%90 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Camila Osorio37c17,125$6,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,336.3964755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Camila Osorio39c15,939$6,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,137.3562956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Taylor Townsend64c13,301$8,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,723.198,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Camila Osorio39c10,084$3,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,932.86,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Taylor Townsend59c8,514$5,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,506.824,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Taylor Townsend63c8,384$5,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,123.228,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Taylor Townsend61c8,052$4,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.1134857.2%199 W · 149 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked Camila Osorio37c7,700$2,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8495950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Taylor Townsend64c7,200$4,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.5353644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Camila Osorio51c4,597$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.674,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Taylor Townsend58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.2831253.2%166 W · 146 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Camila Osorio39c3,260$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.622,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Camila Osorio51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53022842.5%97 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Taylor Townsend71c2,915$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.241,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Taylor Townsend65c2,825$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.538,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Taylor Townsend51c2,349$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.141,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Camila Osorio54c1,405$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.634,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Camila Osorio12c1,393$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.453,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Camila Osorio39c1,250$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.51,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Camila Osorio39c1,250$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.51,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Taylor Townsend44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.367169%49 W · 22 L+9.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbaf4…d5c4backed Taylor Townsend48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.674042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Camila Osorio59c1,030$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60471857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f9…5cd9backed Camila Osorio5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509335.5%33 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Camila Osorio31c967.73$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.081,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Taylor Townsend71c873.64$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.2788358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Camila Osorio39c852.2$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.366543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Camila Osorio30c837.01$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25054541.7%227 W · 318 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Camila Osorio39c751.83$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.091,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Taylor Townsend60c751.15$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.2311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Camila Osorio14c727.56$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3536621.6%79 W · 287 L+1.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Camila Osorio60c720.56$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43018044.4%80 W · 100 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Taylor Townsend62c699.55$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.142,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Camila Osorio39c679.44$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6827744.4%123 W · 154 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Taylor Townsend78c675.82$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.312,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Taylor Townsend50c666$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33338550.4%194 W · 191 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x398f…30f2backed Taylor Townsend61c642.52$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.416941.4%70 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Taylor Townsend75c629.36$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9691051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Taylor Townsend71c626.76$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.334,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Camila Osorio30c610.4$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1251933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7596…f13abacked Taylor Townsend60c508.98$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.559340.9%38 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Camila Osorio39c504$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5624052.5%126 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Camila Osorio39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19535938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Camila Osorio39c429$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3114637.7%55 W · 91 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Taylor Townsend38c322.75$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7516257.4%93 W · 69 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fd2…afcebacked Camila Osorio31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007544%33 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Camila Osorio37c313.02$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Taylor Townsend62c309.66$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.783,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe07d…4ee1backed Camila Osorio39c302$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.782560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc98b…c6f3backed Taylor Townsend71c277.77$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5511155%61 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Camila Osorio42c275.84$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4719537.4%73 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Camila Osorio5c274.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.481,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Camila Osorio37c273.22$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.091,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f1…f02dbacked Camila Osorio39c269.73$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.226448.4%31 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd68…a90fbacked Taylor Townsend76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Camila Osorio38c262.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016856%94 W · 74 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Taylor Townsend47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3214439.6%57 W · 87 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Camila Osorio31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.841,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Camila Osorio40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b2…11babacked Camila Osorio14c243.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.433327.3%9 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Camila Osorio70c228.23$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7628754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162d…8944backed Taylor Townsend51c213.3$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.313134.4%45 W · 86 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Taylor Townsend59c211.62$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8796755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Camila Osorio21c202.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.211,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Taylor Townsend46c200.59$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6972147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Taylor Townsend60c190.57$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0187741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71bf…f6edbacked Camila Osorio41c190$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.95961%36 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Taylor Townsend60c188.44$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7742546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd335…fe54backed Camila Osorio56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011933.6%40 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8101…663ebacked Camila Osorio56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008731%27 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95c4…3d9bbacked Camila Osorio56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d98…fe98backed Camila Osorio56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015133.8%51 W · 100 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Taylor Townsend58c171.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0447058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Taylor Townsend32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2588935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Camila Osorio34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Camila Osorio34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017936.9%66 W · 113 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7861…e932backed Camila Osorio9c139.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Taylor Townsend28c139.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2958931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Taylor Townsend74c135.74$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0338066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5da…5fb9backed Camila Osorio56c133.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512634.9%44 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Camila Osorio41c130$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2569545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Camila Osorio39c128$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9260341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Camila Osorio40c123.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Camila Osorio49c123.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.353,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Camila Osorio33c121.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3542748.7%208 W · 219 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Camila Osorio57c117$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.261,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Taylor Townsend46c101.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.292347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d9…b1b1backed Camila Osorio40c100.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050736.1%183 W · 324 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Taylor Townsend60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4024556.3%138 W · 107 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Camila Osorio39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe713…c9a0backed Taylor Townsend54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4611567%77 W · 38 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Camila Osorio42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4223742.6%101 W · 136 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab4…077fbacked Taylor Townsend32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed Camila Osorio42c99.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9921056.2%118 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Taylor Townsend74c99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0816248.1%78 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Taylor Townsend68c97.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1818459.8%110 W · 74 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Taylor Townsend57c97.26$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6348947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa71…e758backed Camila Osorio50c97.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.541070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+73.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked Camila Osorio48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.916649.4%82 W · 84 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.