MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c0c50f09a8f5d810d8e8f947ec3c3433aaf944c35c324e950102c3680cdd7ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Padres, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $599,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $632,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $599,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 25c | 112,613$28,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,059.26 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…7ceebacked Padres | 63c | 59,273$37,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,202.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 46,308$30,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,108.29 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 75c | 44,000$33,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,918.18 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304d…ffbfbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 27,540$12,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,104.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…0cb6backed Padres | 55c | 25,430$13,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,986.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 51c | 23,345$11,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,467.79 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Padres | 53c | 20,973$11,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,106.03 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Padres | 57c | 17,318$9,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,871.48 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 13,949$6,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,393.04 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Blue Jays | 69c | 12,637$8,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.63 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 42c | 10,334$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,975.15 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Padres | 55c | 6,700$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.12 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Blue Jays | 73c | 4,818$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Blue Jays | 49c | 3,711$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.99 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 3,703$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.34 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Blue Jays | 47c | 3,321$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.92 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Blue Jays | 60c | 3,138$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.39 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Blue Jays | 67c | 3,113$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.68 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Blue Jays | 54c | 2,878$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.86 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 62c | 2,643$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Padres | 39c | 2,532$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.89 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Blue Jays | 67c | 2,209$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.83 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…311bbacked Padres | 53c | 2,110$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Padres | 25c | 2,097$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.34 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 49c | 2,051$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Blue Jays | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Padres | 59c | 1,866$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Padres | 60c | 1,705$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.89 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Blue Jays | 76c | 1,587$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.88 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 46c | 1,518$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.73 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 56c | 1,419$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.65 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,193$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.5 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…52cbbacked Padres | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcafb…05f0backed Padres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f94…e165backed Padres | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Blue Jays | 43c | 999.28$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.59 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Padres | 51c | 970.61$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Blue Jays | 52c | 961.23$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.65 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Padres | 50c | 866.74$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.37 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 851.2$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.6 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Padres | 52c | 841.39$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.61 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 51c | 805.51$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 16c | 804.23$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3c…7c1ebacked Padres | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Blue Jays | 47c | 785.11$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.11 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Padres | 54c | 747.75$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.1 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jays | 44c | 703.39$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.9 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…a6c9backed Blue Jays | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Padres | 16c | 694.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Padres | 53c | 677.81$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.24 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Blue Jays | 46c | 660$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.4 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Blue Jays | 48c | 657.28$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.94 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Padres | 52c | 627.94$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.86 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…5a68backed Blue Jays | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 54c | 556.11$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.52 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Padres | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Padres | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…f7afbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…fbfdbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Padres | 50c | 480.2$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Padres | 34c | 455.08$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 53c | 424.53$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 61c | 418.19$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.84 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Blue Jays | 62c | 400$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays | 44c | 389.19$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.16 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Padres | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Blue Jays | 50c | 375.19$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Padres | 54c | 371.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Padres | 15c | 330.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Padres | 4c | 324.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…cea7backed Blue Jays | 76c | 312.92$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Blue Jays | 60c | 310.17$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.07 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Padres | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 279$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Padres | 23c | 275$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 39c | 271.59$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 5c | 267.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Padres | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…5739backed Blue Jays | 70c | 247.71$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Blue Jays | 44c | 212$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Blue Jays | 45c | 204.69$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Blue Jays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…11c3backed Blue Jays | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Padres | 51c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…a7b9backed Padres | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…6b5abacked Padres | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Padres | 67c | 190$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.3 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Blue Jays | 27c | 186.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.93 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e84…7040backed Padres | 72c | 179.3$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +69%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Padres | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…af78backed Blue Jays | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Blue Jays | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Blue Jays | 77c | 128.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 126.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.