Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcde1a086e35b1df3e5db4b903ea6be837d8c5a39769e27ec122c8813d9dff23c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 71c | 25,484$18,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,426.94 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 29c | 17,203$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 72c | 9,598$6,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 28c | 6,146$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.77 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 70c | 5,412$3,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.1 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 33c | 5,000$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.14 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed No | 72c | 4,980$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.38 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 33c | 4,306$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.88 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 29c | 4,138$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 4,050$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…e977backed Yes | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 31c | 3,242$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Yes | 24c | 3,112$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.18 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 2,411$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.11 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 66c | 2,343$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.11 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 28c | 2,234$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.09 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 29c | 2,192$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.91 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 29c | 1,695$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.36 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 70c | 1,629$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.02 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 73c | 1,546$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.12 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 29c | 1,310$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,280$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 1,193$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.64 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 74c | 1,135$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.48 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.83 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.08 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 69c | 1,110$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.78 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed No | 72c | 999.94$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Yes | 31c | 977.49$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 29c | 937.34$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.83 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df6…4462backed Yes | 31c | 918.16$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…7892backed No | 78c | 913.87$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 71c | 852.32$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.17 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 26c | 765.53$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.78 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 22c | 640.79$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…5fcebacked Yes | 5c | 617.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 29c | 600.07$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.02 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 29c | 513.9$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 28c | 500.06$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…ea91backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…5109backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…3c8abacked Yes | 30c | 466.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes | 27c | 400$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Yes | 30c | 389.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes | 21c | 342.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 29c | 310.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Yes | 29c | 303.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 28c | 301$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 28c | 299.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 28c | 296$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 72c | 277.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yes | 29c | 268.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 268.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Yes | 29c | 262.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 230$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…0146backed Yes | 29c | 227.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 207.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 71c | 199.97$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 30c | 194.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 167.57$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed No | 72c | 166.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4774…da0cbacked Yes | 29c | 162.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…bbc1backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fc…1f6abacked Yes | 29c | 148.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked No | 72c | 130.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed Yes | 29c | 127.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 26c | 115.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes | 28c | 114.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked No | 71c | 113$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 29c | 105.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…88acbacked Yes | 29c | 104.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db8…5634backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…8339backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…fa9fbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…5e6fbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 70c | 92.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-05?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.