MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71a0e942fc231cc6b96a1611dc630087334cd8317e1847c7f07ce5a69652a6e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Guardians, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Tigers | 72c | 35,687$25,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,992.36 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Guardians | 28c | 19,500$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Guardians | 4c | 16,461$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.22 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Tigers | 70c | 7,656$5,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.96 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 28c | 7,480$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.82 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…52a2backed Guardians | 28c | 7,457$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Tigers | 69c | 7,162$4,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.31 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 30c | 7,011$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.45 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Guardians | 1c | 6,001$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Guardians | 29c | 5,800$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 29c | 3,149$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 71c | 3,116$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.73 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Guardians | 4c | 2,427$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Guardians | 28c | 2,304$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.05 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 15c | 2,293$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.36 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Tigers | 71c | 2,016$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.64 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Guardians | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 27c | 1,880$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.59 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Guardians | 32c | 1,500$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Guardians | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Tigers | 68c | 1,398$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.45 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Guardians | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 31c | 926$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.06 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 30c | 877.62$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Guardians | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Tigers | 66c | 569.21$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.53 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Guardians | 29c | 556.33$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.32 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 22c | 508.22$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 28c | 449.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Tigers | 74c | 412.79$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Guardians | 27c | 347.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Guardians | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Guardians | 21c | 308.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Tigers | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Guardians | 34c | 283.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Guardians | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Guardians | 30c | 200.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Guardians | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Guardians | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Guardians | 14c | 190.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Tigers | 73c | 146$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 69c | 139.87$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Guardians | 30c | 125.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…0536backed Guardians | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…7a72backed Guardians | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e20…5e20backed Tigers | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Guardians | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Guardians | 34c | 94.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Guardians | 34c | 90.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Tigers | 73c | 87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d5…37e6backed Tigers | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…b426backed Guardians | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 25c | 66.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Guardians | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Guardians | 34c | 53.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…1a6ebacked Guardians | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Tigers | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…0fb4backed Tigers | 73c | 41.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…2e57backed Guardians | 28c | 40.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…2941backed Guardians | 28c | 39.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…903dbacked Tigers | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Tigers | 69c | 29.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Tigers | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…9c29backed Tigers | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.