MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44bed3d5c338933bd215a4ade3adef0b3bbb954fa6e4060869a6bfbe9b573131
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x192d…0671backed Brewers | 68c | 46,162$31,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,819.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 27c | 14,294$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.2 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 14c | 8,222$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.43 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 47c | 7,436$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.81 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Pirates | 47c | 6,493$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.71 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 18c | 5,950$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 47c | 4,446$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.55 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 48c | 3,807$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.88 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.94 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates | 48c | 2,642$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.04 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Pirates | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Brewers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…29babacked Pirates | 44c | 1,932$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…9378backed Pirates | 45c | 1,911$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Brewers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91b…d0acbacked Brewers | 55c | 1,650$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Brewers | 52c | 1,550$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…2fefbacked Pirates | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Brewers | 50c | 1,321$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.84 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Brewers | 69c | 1,131$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.21 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…2114backed Brewers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Brewers | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…d547backed Brewers | 55c | 973$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19b…b767backed Brewers | 55c | 938$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef5…a7debacked Brewers | 56c | 932$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 47c | 906$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.82 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…cfecbacked Pirates | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…a7b9backed Brewers | 76c | 897.43$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pirates | 46c | 883.9$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.59 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Brewers | 77c | 840.56$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.42 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 31c | 795$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.15 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pirates | 3c | 772.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…a70dbacked Pirates | 48c | 709.26$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Brewers | 50c | 667.89$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.95 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Pirates | 9c | 644.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 3c | 627.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Brewers | 50c | 606$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pirates | 44c | 586.55$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Brewers | 69c | 574$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.94 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 17c | 530.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 17c | 522.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Brewers | 75c | 466.75$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Pirates | 28c | 443.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Brewers | 51c | 437.25$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.25 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…82d1backed Pirates | 49c | 427.65$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Brewers | 79c | 421.52$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…a014backed Pirates | 45c | 420$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…93e6backed Pirates | 50c | 419.36$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…6e30backed Pirates | 50c | 401.92$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Brewers | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…1eebbacked Pirates | 50c | 396.06$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…6e89backed Brewers | 52c | 386.4$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.47 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe956…64adbacked Brewers | 52c | 384.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…a80abacked Brewers | 52c | 374.38$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…499fbacked Brewers | 52c | 365.69$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf75…7352backed Brewers | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…a86bbacked Pirates | 6c | 346.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…a2e8backed Pirates | 45c | 340$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf02…d625backed Brewers | 52c | 333.69$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Brewers | 56c | 330.41$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…f1ecbacked Pirates | 50c | 325.9$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Brewers | 62c | 323.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfada…9502backed Pirates | 50c | 312.1$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…1a6ebacked Brewers | 51c | 309.06$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…61a1backed Brewers | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pirates | 11c | 286.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…391ebacked Brewers | 55c | 270$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Pirates | 29c | 260.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…097ebacked Brewers | 55c | 260$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 26c | 258.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Pirates | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Brewers | 79c | 237.34$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 26c | 223.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…ace9backed Pirates | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 16c | 214.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 48c | 207.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…5739backed Brewers | 53c | 190.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Brewers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Brewers | 55c | 158.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Brewers | 60c | 156.12$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Brewers | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6de4…aa6dbacked Pirates | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…6b5abacked Brewers | 52c | 144.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 48c | 135.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 64c | 128.91$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Pirates | 30c | 121$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…8253backed Pirates | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…eabcbacked Brewers | 52c | 108.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…95a9backed Pirates | 50c | 107.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…0db2backed Pirates | 50c | 105.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…ac8ebacked Brewers | 52c | 105.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…215ebacked Pirates | 49c | 104.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8f…7178backed Brewers | 75c | 103.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8502…7c3abacked Brewers | 52c | 102.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.