MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1956ecc7028823b5caef08f51883c4690054c50179680e4593f169142686074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Nationals, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $466,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $484,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Padres | 57c | 159,269$90,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,066.44 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Nationals | 43c | 88,888$38,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,221.84 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Padres | 60c | 60,820$36,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,408.59 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Nationals | 44c | 53,996$23,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,848 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nationals | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,900 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 43c | 19,435$8,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,355.71 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals | 43c | 6,645$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.5 | 997 | 50.1%499 W · 498 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Nationals | 43c | 6,600$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.23 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 54c | 5,330$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.62 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Padres | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 55c | 4,784$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.6 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Padres | 55c | 3,855$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.29 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Nationals | 25c | 3,599$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.76 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 27c | 3,351$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.22 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 40c | 3,185$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.01 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 25c | 2,952$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.5 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Padres | 57c | 2,900$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247 | 497 | 50.1%249 W · 248 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Padres | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 43c | 2,332$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.7 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 58c | 2,148$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.72 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Padres | 80c | 2,089$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.85 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Nationals | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Nationals | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3582backed Nationals | 42c | 1,857$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 44c | 1,832$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.97 | 1,926 | 53.4%1,029 W · 897 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed Nationals | 42c | 1,753$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed Padres | 58c | 1,750$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Padres | 71c | 1,650$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.5 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Padres | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…c16ebacked Nationals | 18c | 1,366$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 2c | 1,350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nationals | 17c | 1,199$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.77 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Nationals | 29c | 992.62$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.71 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 20c | 957.37$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.31 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…b670backed Padres | 58c | 943$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a49…b41bbacked Padres | 58c | 914$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.88 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Padres | 78c | 836.53$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Nationals | 26c | 804.38$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.14 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 56c | 738.46$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.92 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Nationals | 26c | 730$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.81 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nationals | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 56c | 529.39$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.93 | 5,240 | 56.8%2,974 W · 2,266 L | +130.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Nationals | 3c | 523.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x846b…fe9cbacked Padres | 59c | 518.63$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Nationals | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Nationals | 20c | 480$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Nationals | 29c | 470.19$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.86 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Padres | 56c | 448$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.12 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Nationals | 25c | 402.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…d51dbacked Nationals | 27c | 364.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Nationals | 42c | 348.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Nationals | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nationals | 36c | 314.56$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 36c | 285.91$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 6c | 257.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Nationals | 15c | 246.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Padres | 58c | 239$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Nationals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 68c | 231.01$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 59c | 231$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Padres | 76c | 227.33$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…806ebacked Nationals | 20c | 226.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Nationals | 41c | 223.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785a…bdb6backed Padres | 60c | 222.32$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Padres | 70c | 211$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,219 | 40.4%493 W · 726 L | -33.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nationals | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3,320 | 46.2%1,535 W · 1,785 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Nationals | 33c | 199.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 10c | 190$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nationals | 18c | 186.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 329 | 32.2%106 W · 223 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Nationals | 32c | 171.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Padres | 59c | 169.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Padres | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Padres | 58c | 166.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…8bd3backed Nationals | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…6f9cbacked Nationals | 44c | 159.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Nationals | 44c | 157.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 43c | 134.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 1,093 | 46.4%507 W · 586 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Nationals | 24c | 132$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Padres | 58c | 128$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Nationals | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…949abacked Nationals | 10c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6703…24a6backed Nationals | 67c | 122.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…f272backed Padres | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf082…ae27backed Padres | 58c | 114.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nationals | 44c | 113.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 1,420 | 48.9%694 W · 726 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9295…04f3backed Padres | 70c | 112.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Nationals | 13c | 109.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffc8…8a1dbacked Padres | 58c | 108.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Nationals | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Nationals | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…5e58backed Nationals | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…d4f1backed Nationals | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…6312backed Padres | 56c | 98.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.