MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf25ddc7e1428d4bd92fc0c1384d0b56b2f9588f04976778c5b4c2d43b12c71dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Marlins | 61c | 38,952$23,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,351.86 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Angels | 55c | 26,195$14,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,306.44 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Angels | 49c | 11,519$5,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,653.18 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 46c | 11,187$5,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,002.26 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 56c | 8,944$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.61 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 18c | 7,811$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Angels | 47c | 5,931$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.22 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…4456backed Angels | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 45c | 3,472$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.42 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…c024backed Marlins | 48c | 3,100$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 48c | 2,865$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.65 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Marlins | 48c | 2,754$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.23 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a45…24cfbacked Marlins | 49c | 2,626$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…48aebacked Angels | 36c | 2,469$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Angels | 45c | 2,081$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.1 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…6fd3backed Marlins | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Angels | 27c | 1,764$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.32 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Marlins | 45c | 1,109$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…2cbbbacked Angels | 55c | 1,109$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Angels | 16c | 1,090$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.36 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 45c | 1,021$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.18 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Angels | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Marlins | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…806ebacked Angels | 14c | 998.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Angels | 49c | 877$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.73 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 44c | 825.74$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.28 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Marlins | 47c | 824.32$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.91 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Angels | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…c3c2backed Angels | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Angels | 53c | 781.81$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.36 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Angels | 32c | 777$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.04 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Angels | 51c | 772.55$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Angels | 17c | 735.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 11c | 733.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Angels | 53c | 650$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels | 33c | 558.01$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.1 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Angels | 15c | 530$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Angels | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Angels | 54c | 447.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.91 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Angels | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Marlins | 47c | 337.51$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Angels | 55c | 331.5$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Angels | 5c | 322$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…786ebacked Marlins | 66c | 313.5$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Angels | 25c | 300$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Angels | 24c | 283.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 49c | 254.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Angels | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Angels | 10c | 207.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Angels | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Angels | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Angels | 58c | 190.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Angels | 27c | 187.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Angels | 15c | 185.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Angels | 55c | 181.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Angels | 20c | 144.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Angels | 55c | 138.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Angels | 51c | 138$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Marlins | 46c | 123.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 47c | 120.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Angels | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Angels | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Angels | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Marlins | 68c | 88.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Marlins | 79c | 85.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Angels | 32c | 85.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Angels | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5047…c436backed Marlins | 51c | 77.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Angels | 55c | 69.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Marlins | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Angels | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Angels | 25c | 51.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Angels | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…b029backed Angels | 51c | 47.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 46c | 47.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Angels | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Angels | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Angels | 37c | 38.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Angels | 54c | 36.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Marlins | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Marlins | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…74efbacked Angels | 52c | 29.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1a…ccb1backed Angels | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b59…b31bbacked Angels | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Angels | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 73c | 19.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…814abacked Marlins | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.