WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5ca25f68b758325a6d01874c873c91ee3d4716888938b428ac56d3af2487ca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Mystics, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Valkyries | 34c | 4,500$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mystics | 66c | 4,500$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mystics | 64c | 2,000$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Valkyries | 37c | 2,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Valkyries | 28c | 459.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.66 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mystics | 64c | 225$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Mystics | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Valkyries | 34c | 97.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Valkyries | 26c | 56.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Mystics | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Mystics | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Mystics | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Mystics | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Mystics | 71c | 39.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Mystics | 68c | 38.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Mystics | 67c | 29.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Mystics | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.