MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26a3d948aa762941fadaa26c72dad4a2be6e457dabf60b3a4b465708691eeff5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Brewers | 56c | 20,540$11,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,037.59 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pirates | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 37c | 6,642$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 30c | 6,302$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.63 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pirates | 44c | 5,903$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.16 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 19c | 4,129$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.24 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Brewers | 63c | 3,815$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.21 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 41c | 2,442$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.37 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Brewers | 65c | 1,957$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.8 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…3af3backed Brewers | 59c | 1,546$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Brewers | 67c | 1,418$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.21 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Brewers | 76c | 1,375$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.1 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Pirates | 20c | 1,146$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.23 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Pirates | 46c | 1,080$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.6 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Brewers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 73c | 990.42$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.15 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Brewers | 71c | 988.46$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.46 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Brewers | 54c | 927.12$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.81 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 38c | 769.42$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.77 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Brewers | 13c | 758.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.02 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 34c | 669.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.33 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Pirates | 44c | 668.97$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.33 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Pirates | 46c | 652.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pirates | 33c | 612.35$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.8 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Brewers | 14c | 552.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.08 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Brewers | 72c | 460.27$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.27 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Pirates | 15c | 426.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Brewers | 54c | 422.12$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Brewers | 57c | 351.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Pirates | 54c | 344.06$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.27 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Brewers | 61c | 323.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.04 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brewers | 75c | 247.83$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc8…1596backed Brewers | 15c | 214.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Pirates | 43c | 190.37$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Brewers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 56c | 177.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Pirates | 33c | 174.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Brewers | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Brewers | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 59c | 131.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Brewers | 76c | 118.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Pirates | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Pirates | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Pirates | 28c | 95.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Pirates | 20c | 90.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 44c | 88.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Pirates | 16c | 81.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Brewers | 57c | 77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Pirates | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Brewers | 54c | 66.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…a6a6backed Brewers | 59c | 65.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…b426backed Pirates | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers | 74c | 57.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Pirates | 40c | 57.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 69c | 54.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pirates | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Brewers | 78c | 51.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Pirates | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Pirates | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Pirates | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Brewers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Brewers | 54c | 43.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Brewers | 78c | 40.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Pirates | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 44c | 38.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Pirates | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…320fbacked Brewers | 56c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Pirates | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…f16bbacked Brewers | 59c | 29.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Pirates | 40c | 28.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…2941backed Pirates | 43c | 26.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc529…a99cbacked Brewers | 80c | 26.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…ce55backed Pirates | 45c | 26.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…dba9backed Pirates | 46c | 26.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Brewers | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…4dc4backed Brewers | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b59…b31bbacked Brewers | 72c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Brewers | 61c | 22.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.