MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x392921af16ba9d589ebf9d78900f1aca15bea89ea046924cab55b2b477a7112d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 50c | 56,362$28,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,431.8 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bf…33e5backed Twins | 52c | 26,650$13,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,858 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…73bbbacked Guardians | 48c | 26,450$12,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,754 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Guardians | 54c | 22,378$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,278.3 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Twins | 68c | 20,790$14,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,034.18 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Guardians | 54c | 20,359$11,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,269.14 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Guardians | 34c | 18,390$6,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,078.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Twins | 63c | 14,306$8,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,998.74 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Guardians | 34c | 11,651$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,744.76 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Twins | 68c | 9,441$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450.12 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…626cbacked Guardians | 43c | 8,413$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…af7fbacked Twins | 56c | 7,098$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0512…6f17backed Twins | 27c | 6,894$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Guardians | 41c | 6,890$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.87 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Guardians | 71c | 6,356$4,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.21 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Guardians | 36c | 5,293$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.03 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Twins | 64c | 4,619$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.48 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.96 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 41c | 4,204$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.33 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Twins | 58c | 4,093$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Guardians | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Twins | 53c | 2,970$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.95 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…ea97backed Guardians | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Guardians | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Twins | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.98 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Twins | 58c | 1,986$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.44 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…b670backed Guardians | 48c | 1,979$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 3c | 1,895$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Guardians | 75c | 1,867$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.62 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 43c | 1,866$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.01 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Twins | 36c | 1,645$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.01 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Twins | 64c | 1,474$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.36 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Guardians | 41c | 1,410$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.15 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Guardians | 41c | 1,410$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.58 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Guardians | 39c | 1,137$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f3…f4fabacked Twins | 52c | 1,038$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…7956backed Twins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…9470backed Twins | 52c | 979$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…f3fcbacked Twins | 52c | 962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Guardians | 40c | 951.36$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Guardians | 40c | 919.31$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.3 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Guardians | 46c | 907.74$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.18 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins | 3c | 905$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Twins | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Guardians | 51c | 824.55$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.93 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…7484backed Twins | 62c | 811.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Guardians | 41c | 804.16$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Twins | 52c | 789.92$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.66 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Twins | 52c | 729.64$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.41 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Twins | 28c | 700$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Twins | 49c | 691.32$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 18c | 664.59$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c781backed Twins | 75c | 652.93$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Guardians | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Guardians | 75c | 530.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Twins | 28c | 500$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Guardians | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…42cbbacked Twins | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Twins | 15c | 478$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Guardians | 29c | 448.24$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.25 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Twins | 34c | 444.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Twins | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Guardians | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Guardians | 49c | 408.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…7381backed Guardians | 48c | 406.6$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 46c | 388$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.52 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda41…9b18backed Guardians | 48c | 382.67$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd86…1e84backed Twins | 74c | 382.04$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Twins | 62c | 374.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Guardians | 42c | 370.35$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…ac6dbacked Twins | 54c | 367.69$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 47c | 355.24$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Guardians | 43c | 352.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.33 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…6e30backed Guardians | 48c | 349.71$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Twins | 4c | 347.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…9b0ebacked Twins | 54c | 332.41$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…1a6ebacked Guardians | 48c | 316.92$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…cbebbacked Guardians | 48c | 314.42$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…950ebacked Twins | 54c | 311.69$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…690ebacked Twins | 54c | 303.67$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…3526backed Twins | 54c | 303.17$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 35c | 293.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Twins | 52c | 292.62$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.16 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbc…a87dbacked Twins | 54c | 286.07$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9b…2103backed Guardians | 48c | 282.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Guardians | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…638fbacked Twins | 35c | 270.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a39…e798backed Guardians | 48c | 265$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Guardians | 47c | 259.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Twins | 27c | 254.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Twins | 20c | 242.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Twins | 64c | 231.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.61 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Guardians | 41c | 230.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.17 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…3d89backed Twins | 58c | 218.26$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Guardians | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c7…6e5fbacked Twins | 59c | 201.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Guardians | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.