TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$523,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$573,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,565 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Mets19c95,655$17,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,917.051,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets70c29,239$20,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,518.851,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers75c23,687$17,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,967.4486751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Mets50c20,353$10,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,176.527948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Dodgers50c14,528$7,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,263.824553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Mets50c12,332$6,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,149.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Mets52c12,234$6,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,361.8124551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb811…c119backed Dodgers52c9,998$5,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8294…4488backed Mets48c9,998$4,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mets67c7,567$5,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,079.932,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers75c7,379$5,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.229,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Dodgers55c6,581$3,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.7940629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers50c5,065$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.141,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Mets50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5006645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Dodgers49c4,729$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.999759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Mets65c4,080$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.8579740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0401,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Mets51c3,906$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.6228447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa530…4280backed Mets18c3,843$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001717.6%3 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Dodgers40c3,706$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.9215745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers49c3,189$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.62,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Mets52c3,072$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.3398149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Mets78c2,564$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.257451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1006…e4a6backed Mets48c2,400$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Mets78c2,139$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.6191749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b3…bfdbbacked Mets48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5695…f8edbacked Mets26c1,862$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.096637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Mets46c1,858$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9314539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Dodgers42c1,597$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.6119239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Mets42c1,349$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.4318349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x703b…e4d0backed Dodgers52c1,327$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.96875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Dodgers47c1,324$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.281,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Mets11c1,262$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5012…b744backed Mets48c1,225$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe22…cd4ebacked Dodgers52c1,112$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Mets3c1,086$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9283.6%1 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-91.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Mets55c1,075$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.269249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x448b…a674backed Dodgers52c1,073$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf71d…500dbacked Dodgers52c1,062$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x281b…0d88backed Dodgers52c1,038$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Dodgers73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27017927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Dodgers38c1,000$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.710746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…2dfbbacked Dodgers52c988$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Dodgers54c979.09$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.3831248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Dodgers64c940.61$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.6120150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers70c927.91$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.44,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Dodgers51c882.35$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.8813353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb63…3ba1backed Mets48c875$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Mets22c824.49$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.933450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Mets19c739.25$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3243250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Dodgers55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2720523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dodgers64c700$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Mets9c660.26$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5832832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mets33c609.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Mets43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dodgers55c569.24$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.1654048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mets75c569.02$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.771,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Mets64c555.14$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.5241747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Mets26c550$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1230928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mets67c546.23$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.651,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Dodgers37c534.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.5139436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Dodgers48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Dodgers55c482.67$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.514047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc3b…f625backed Dodgers47c463.5$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.487935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Dodgers53c451.58$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5812347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2751…1678backed Dodgers24c424.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+324.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6726651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Mets35c415$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3212335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Dodgers53c403.77$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7799951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec2…10dabacked Dodgers25c400.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.841450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec4e…a44fbacked Dodgers38c383.33$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3638455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Mets53c349.9$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0297950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcac0…7fe9backed Dodgers48c324.85$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7be9…5265backed Dodgers29c310.29$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+240.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29db…ae12backed Dodgers50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28aa…a986backed Mets64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a9…356abacked Mets25c285$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.252015%3 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-65.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69d4…6775backed Mets63c241.92$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.414544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Dodgers75c237.06$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.315256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers25c232.17$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.52,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Mets5c220$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2215644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Dodgers48c216.81$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.695,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Dodgers50c214.4$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.212549.6%62 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets47c212.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.112,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Dodgers57c211.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.485358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Mets50c200.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5985047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mets51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0912…5739backed Dodgers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe5…70eabacked Mets73c189.2$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.981118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-71.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Dodgers64c188.58$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3968656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Dodgers74c185.78$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4480680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x4ca2…55e4backed Dodgers26c182.24$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.467154.9%39 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Dodgers54c180.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1311036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…cc9abacked Dodgers30c179.41$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.41421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers71c169.33$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.471,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Mets78c167.38$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5680955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.