MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52dd03b615aab2f41560c59d9d882fb42c3cbe14c1ed79a57b14ebb9fa28ef09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Orioles, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 53c | 12,527$6,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,654.43 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Orioles | 6c | 5,440$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.64 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Red Sox | 55c | 3,858$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.17 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Orioles | 27c | 3,384$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.45 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 45c | 3,286$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.61 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Red Sox | 55c | 3,104$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.72 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Orioles | 45c | 3,010$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Red Sox | 30c | 3,001$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.81 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…e75bbacked Orioles | 16c | 2,730$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Red Sox | 62c | 2,429$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.68 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…7cdbbacked Orioles | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Red Sox | 55c | 2,220$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.87 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Orioles | 5c | 2,100$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Orioles | 29c | 2,007$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.86 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,759$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.78 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 44c | 1,579$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.82 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Red Sox | 40c | 1,542$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.03 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…2a73backed Red Sox | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Orioles | 70c | 1,324$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.04 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…08b4backed Red Sox | 63c | 1,284$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.13 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Red Sox | 55c | 1,151$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.96 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…a986backed Orioles | 13c | 1,100$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 1c | 1,096$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Red Sox | 57c | 1,059$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.31 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 67c | 1,029$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f94…e165backed Red Sox | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Orioles | 45c | 999.93$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.97 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Orioles | 45c | 844.5$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.03 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 57c | 840$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.13 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…adc4backed Red Sox | 55c | 799.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Red Sox | 52c | 761.17$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.87 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ae12backed Orioles | 41c | 729.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Red Sox | 52c | 700$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.51 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Orioles | 3c | 588.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 44c | 573.45$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.32 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Red Sox | 54c | 569.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Red Sox | 57c | 555$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.4 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Orioles | 50c | 540.74$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.65 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Orioles | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Red Sox | 64c | 443.23$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7003…a528backed Orioles | 45c | 440$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…5d1abacked Red Sox | 55c | 440$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 46c | 436.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Orioles | 42c | 392.61$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…cea7backed Red Sox | 37c | 391.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Red Sox | 57c | 385.44$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.74 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Red Sox | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Red Sox | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Red Sox | 55c | 340.33$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Orioles | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Orioles | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Orioles | 49c | 293.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 55c | 280.19$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 45c | 272.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Red Sox | 55c | 271.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.06 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37aa…00febacked Orioles | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Red Sox | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked Orioles | 43c | 237.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Orioles | 45c | 220.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Red Sox | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Orioles | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Red Sox | 49c | 199.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Red Sox | 59c | 194.88$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Orioles | 45c | 190.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Orioles | 55c | 188.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Red Sox | 56c | 179.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 58c | 173.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Red Sox | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Red Sox | 71c | 141.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb05…4d1dbacked Red Sox | 42c | 138.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Orioles | 40c | 131.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Red Sox | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Red Sox | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 32c | 124.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cc…2669backed Orioles | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8f…7178backed Red Sox | 59c | 109.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…8e7cbacked Orioles | 44c | 106.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Red Sox | 46c | 105.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…ae44backed Orioles | 45c | 101.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a3…9af0backed Red Sox | 56c | 101.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Sox | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…a46cbacked Orioles | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Orioles | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4146…1886backed Orioles | 46c | 94.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84e…f79fbacked Red Sox | 56c | 93.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Orioles | 39c | 92.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Orioles | 39c | 92.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Orioles | 39c | 92.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6675…5976backed Red Sox | 56c | 92.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…9556backed Red Sox | 56c | 92.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…3aecbacked Red Sox | 56c | 91.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…c40ebacked Orioles | 45c | 91.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Red Sox | 55c | 90.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…087cbacked Orioles | 46c | 90.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…702abacked Orioles | 45c | 90.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…9236backed Red Sox | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.