TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

White Sox vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof White Sox, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Mets70c7,143$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked White Sox30c6,500$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,549.9814048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mets14c5,029$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.111,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked White Sox28c4,323$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,091.2973352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Mets71c4,319$3,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,082.1821356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Mets72c4,204$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,007.58457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox28c3,971$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.1286751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mets28c3,789$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.572,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ecb…070fbacked Mets72c2,245$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.982462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Mets1c2,013$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed White Sox52c1,838$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.0539041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox31c1,410$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.341,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked White Sox55c1,202$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.73943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Mets27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32420523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked White Sox29c1,029$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.365,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed White Sox29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed White Sox53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47025550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed White Sox29c999.88$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.9133349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Mets20c996.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mets31c955.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox33c909.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.0995930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Mets21c857.48$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0640547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked White Sox76c800$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19013359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mets69c724.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2488549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x638a…49f4backed White Sox71c705.56$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.56850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Mets6c681.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4238245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked White Sox32c672.68$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.4437446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12d…d764backed White Sox75c666.51$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.513351.5%17 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed White Sox31c645.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.4216551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Mets45c557.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed White Sox78c534.81$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3151953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mets68c499.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9851151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed White Sox49c498.39$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7cc…ed76backed White Sox30c465.76$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+85.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mets28c426.66$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.551,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Mets42c400$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.513848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91b…d0acbacked Mets70c380$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Mets71c375.83$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.845666.1%37 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x078c…a68abacked White Sox30c350$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets72c347.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf75…7352backed Mets70c320$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked White Sox75c314.34$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6563942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Mets35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Mets70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked White Sox30c281.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6985047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets71c280.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9eb…a6c9backed White Sox30c250$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mets25c197.32$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5470841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x399d…01dabacked White Sox28c196.95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.811757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Mets15c187.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.056132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0b…44fdbacked Mets11c176.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick20cpaid-68.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Mets13c172.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Mets21c168.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9925835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Mets54c156.29$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8515256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca65…3dbbbacked Mets70c151.87$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80f8…6713backed Mets71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004261.9%26 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7202…92f4backed White Sox30c134$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa444…ef4dbacked Mets70c134$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2d…6ae3backed White Sox57c132.72$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…f8e7backed Mets70c129.33$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.534245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Mets69c120.84$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3711058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d4…90c1backed White Sox57c120$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0127…7addbacked Mets42c113.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0243…3bc2backed Mets71c111.27$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795869%40 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed White Sox31c109.77$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.141,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x348a…9dd0backed White Sox72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Mets46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4613555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed White Sox35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6520448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1565…e6b0backed White Sox30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked White Sox28c99.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726532.3%21 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mets71c99.63$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.63,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed White Sox28c98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2540352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed White Sox30c95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.541649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9938…c7e8backed White Sox51c94.39$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2510858.3%63 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…62a1backed White Sox32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc93b…ae97backed Mets69c87.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d27…f6cfbacked Mets29c75.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.774025%10 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed White Sox67c72.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2180680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets71c72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.122,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mets54c70.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.21,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1726…3986backed Mets71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b8…2d83backed White Sox53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.62755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Mets72c69.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5094455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeac7…fec6backed Mets68c63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.849150.5%46 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed White Sox29c57.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7320343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Mets72c55.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mets22c47.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.621,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox30c47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.91,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Mets54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258756.3%49 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Mets72c45.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x946b…5857backed White Sox57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.865156.9%29 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Mets38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Mets71c38.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2774356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ab…cdcbbacked Mets73c34.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512862.5%80 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ee…b6f8backed Mets70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed White Sox71c28.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3620367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e1…c293backed Mets72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206869.1%47 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Mets72c24.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4220649.5%102 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Mets68c22.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515949.1%78 W · 81 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3aa…e5febacked Mets72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.