MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8ebcc77b30390b505bde892f331f64c0647734eade39a94e31acdf4f0daa0c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Rangers | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060.24 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked White Sox | 46c | 9,276$4,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,261.91 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed White Sox | 45c | 3,320$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.76 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 54c | 2,955$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.64 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked White Sox | 46c | 2,014$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.3 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Rangers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed White Sox | 44c | 1,990$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.6 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked White Sox | 49c | 1,917$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.54 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers | 74c | 1,411$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.23 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed White Sox | 44c | 1,380$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.6 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers | 74c | 1,319$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.19 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed White Sox | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Rangers | 29c | 1,088$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.31 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed White Sox | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Rangers | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rangers | 54c | 857.27$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.34 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers | 54c | 818.81$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.83 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 48c | 764.36$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers | 46c | 564.75$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.34 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked White Sox | 53c | 552.97$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.29 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 57c | 550.23$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.64 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked White Sox | 47c | 471$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.37 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Rangers | 53c | 471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers | 53c | 427.8$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.33 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Rangers | 34c | 394.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.48 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Rangers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Rangers | 45c | 325.66$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.33 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Rangers | 46c | 324.97$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rangers | 14c | 226.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.93 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Rangers | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Rangers | 63c | 199.43$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers | 58c | 190.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc8…1596backed White Sox | 54c | 184.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Rangers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 53c | 137.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed White Sox | 74c | 135.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Rangers | 78c | 127.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rangers | 52c | 127$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Rangers | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Rangers | 60c | 123$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 47c | 117.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked White Sox | 31c | 113.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rangers | 45c | 101.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rangers | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed White Sox | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed White Sox | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Rangers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Rangers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Rangers | 68c | 97.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…786ebacked Rangers | 77c | 88.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked White Sox | 44c | 77.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Rangers | 78c | 69.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked White Sox | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 28c | 56.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Rangers | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Rangers | 73c | 45.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rangers | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed White Sox | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked White Sox | 44c | 38.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Rangers | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Rangers | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…e0e1backed Rangers | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Rangers | 71c | 25.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rangers | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.