MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01c79a7606293ef8313ed3b4058ae3761e318aacda516af571d8f7dcda1b0795
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Pirates | 51c | 41,259$20,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,377.94 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 19,800$10,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,743.26 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 15,421$8,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,481.36 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…0b4dbacked Diamondbacks | 23c | 10,001$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 45c | 6,543$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.65 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 4,444$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.15 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 78c | 3,711$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.76 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 45c | 3,475$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 56c | 2,500$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Pirates | 45c | 2,060$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.91 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 1c | 2,006$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 46c | 1,998$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,913$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.72 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…b635backed Pirates | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Diamondbacks | 22c | 1,884$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Diamondbacks | 21c | 1,568$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Diamondbacks | 2c | 1,418$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pirates | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.16 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pirates | 45c | 999.99$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.03 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Pirates | 44c | 980$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…8559backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 970$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks | 5c | 966.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 21c | 935.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7013…2c27backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 930$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Pirates | 58c | 860.21$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.29 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pirates | 45c | 846.04$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.93 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 799.94$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.97 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 716.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 702.42$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 627.18$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.47 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3c…7c1ebacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 457$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Diamondbacks | 5c | 428.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 397.3$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.54 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pirates | 44c | 394.02$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.95 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 360.59$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…5a68backed Pirates | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…793dbacked Diamondbacks | 10c | 344.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…c03dbacked Pirates | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Pirates | 80c | 285.85$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pirates | 61c | 263.11$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Pirates | 48c | 239.65$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…70f7backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 228.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 224.57$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Pirates | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 47c | 218.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 47c | 214.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pirates | 66c | 214.04$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…d5ccbacked Diamondbacks | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Pirates | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Diamondbacks | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Diamondbacks | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Pirates | 46c | 190.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 45c | 181.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…970ebacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 52c | 178.55$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 46c | 175.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Pirates | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates | 72c | 167.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Pirates | 72c | 146.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 45c | 136$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…5a45backed Pirates | 45c | 119.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Pirates | 45c | 116$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88e…e735backed Pirates | 47c | 103.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…a8edbacked Pirates | 46c | 102.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…1c71backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 102.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…0bdfbacked Pirates | 48c | 97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6554…702fbacked Pirates | 47c | 96.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77be…252ebacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 92.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…ba20backed Pirates | 49c | 92.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0566…7bfebacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 91.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…5f7ebacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 90.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844f…4e5abacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 89.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…36a4backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 89.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Pirates | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de3…050bbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 88.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…b30bbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 86.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…d6d8backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 82.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Pirates | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…765ebacked Pirates | 47c | 76.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…b18cbacked Pirates | 46c | 73.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 72.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Pirates | 58c | 62.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Pirates | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 44c | 57.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cc…ed76backed Pirates | 45c | 57.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Pirates | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Pirates | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 53.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…391dbacked Pirates | 46c | 52.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.