MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81bce16e9e9e1cd48b1f9e7fd1b8731bc7947d92bcf7c2b31821588ac4435237
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Pirates, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 20,710$13,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,248.34 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pirates | 35c | 12,332$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.2 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 13c | 6,690$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 34c | 6,651$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.36 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 5,895$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.06 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pirates | 36c | 3,256$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.16 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 35c | 2,887$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.42 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 35c | 2,793$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.55 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Pirates | 4c | 2,500$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 2,266$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.31 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 6c | 1,965$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 6c | 1,856$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…4e9bbacked Pirates | 36c | 1,836$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…d55dbacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,654$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pirates | 5c | 1,652$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…cd8cbacked Pirates | 37c | 1,652$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 1,495$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.32 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Pirates | 8c | 1,310$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pirates | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.05 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 799.96$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pirates | 35c | 725.92$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.92 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3c…7c1ebacked Pirates | 36c | 650$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…52cbbacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 550$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Pirates | 6c | 530$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…391ebacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 36c | 499.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pirates | 36c | 466.67$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…61a1backed Pirates | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Pirates | 31c | 361.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 36c | 335.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…ec23backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 320.46$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…7484backed Pirates | 7c | 291.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 37c | 268.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 262.01$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 12c | 240.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 36c | 162.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2848…6315backed Pirates | 36c | 141.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Pirates | 36c | 118.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Pirates | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Pirates | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 109.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Pirates | 37c | 103.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Pirates | 36c | 103.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 101.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…b727backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 98.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…46d7backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 84.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…4c49backed Pirates | 36c | 82.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…586bbacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 81.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…f3e7backed Pirates | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…7bdebacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 80.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 36c | 79.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080d…9874backed Pirates | 36c | 79.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abe…404fbacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 79.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…4b22backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 78.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…b8f6backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 77.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…70f0backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 75.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287b…647abacked Pirates | 36c | 75.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…8b0ebacked Pirates | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…a16abacked Pirates | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…1321backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 73.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…134bbacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 72.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…be9fbacked Pirates | 36c | 72.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…426cbacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 71.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…51d5backed Pirates | 36c | 70.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Pirates | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe79d…650dbacked Pirates | 36c | 68.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Pirates | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…6033backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…a802backed Pirates | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Pirates | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 58.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Pirates | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…1e64backed Pirates | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…9c15backed Pirates | 36c | 52.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaa…ff50backed Pirates | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…4081backed Pirates | 37c | 50.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…2e57backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 49.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…04babacked Pirates | 36c | 48.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1687…bb30backed Pirates | 36c | 46.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…9eebbacked Pirates | 36c | 46.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…b478backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 45.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe3…1ed6backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 43.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…23f5backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 41.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Pirates | 38c | 38.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 38.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…8ba5backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 36.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…5245backed Pirates | 37c | 36.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 34.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pirates | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.